Eredivisie · Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 11:15 UK
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction (Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 11:15 UK): PEC Zwolle 43% · Draw 24% · ADO Den Haag 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.73–1.51. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 61%, No 39%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).
Published · Updated
By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.
Zwolle vs Den Haag preview
Zwolle (15th, 7 pts) host Den Haag (17th, 6 pts) in the Eredivisie. Zwolle have taken 4 points from their last 5 games (WLLLD) and Den Haag 5 points from 5 (WDDLL). Den Haag: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 league games.
Our model sees little between the sides: Zwolle 43%, Den Haag 33%. Expected goals are 1.73 for Zwolle and 1.51 for Den Haag, and the most likely score is 1-1 (11%).
Over 2.5 goals is 63%, below the Eredivisie rate of 75%, so the model expects fewer goals than a typical Eredivisie match.
Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 63%, which still fails about 4 times in 10.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
PEC Zwolle are favoured at 43%, but the draw and a ADO Den Haag win together still account for 57%. Recent form: PEC Zwolle WLLLDL, ADO Den Haag WDDLLD (latest first).
Den Haag lost 3 of 5 away games this season.
New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 63% and Under 2.5 is 37%.
Over 2.5 in 7 of 10 Den Haag games this season.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 84% | 16% | 1.19 |
| 2.5 goals | 63% | 37% | 1.59 |
| 3.5 goals | 41% | 59% | 2.46 |
What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 61% chance: PEC Zwolle score in about 82% of simulated outcomes and ADO Den Haag in about 78%, and both need to happen.
BTTS in 8 of 10 Den Haag games this season.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.54 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle win | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| ADO Den Haag win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.70 |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Model expects 3.2 total goals.
| PEC \ ADO | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today
How have Zwolle and Den Haag played recently?
Latest first. Scores link to each match.
Current streaks
- Den Haag: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 league games.
- Den Haag: both teams scored in each of their last 4 league games.
- Den Haag: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.
Eredivisie games only, runs of three or more. Zwolle and Den Haag.
How Zwolle and Den Haag compare this season
| Stat | Zwolle (home, 5) | Den Haag (away, 5) | Eredivisie average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% (4/5) | 100% (5/5) | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% (3/5) | 60% (3/5) | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% (3/5) | 60% (3/5) | 64% |
| BTTS | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) | 73% |
| Win % | 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/5) | 32% home · 40% away |
| Goals for per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.94 |
| Goals against per game | 2.80 | 2.20 | 1.94 |
Eredivisie average from 85 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.
Eredivisie table
| Team | Pos | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zwolle | 15 | 7 | 9 |
| Den Haag | 17 | 6 | 9 |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in our records.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Zwolle v Den Haag?
- Our model makes Zwolle the more likely winner at 43%: Zwolle 43%, draw 24%, Den Haag 33%. Den Haag lost 3 of 5 away games this season.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zwolle v Den Haag?
- Over 2.5 goals is 63% and under 2.5 is 37%, with expected goals of 3.2. Over 2.5 in 7 of 10 Den Haag games this season.
- What is the most likely score?
- 1-1 at 11%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How have Zwolle and Den Haag played recently?
- Latest first: Zwolle WLLLD, Den Haag WDDLL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.
Related
- PEC Zwolle
- ADO Den Haag
- Eredivisie predictions
- Eredivisie table
- Eredivisie Home win
- Eredivisie Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Upcoming Eredivisie predictions
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:15 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.581% | 44% | 25% | 32% | 59% | 81% | 36% | 59% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.585% | 52% | 22% | 25% | 64% | 85% | 42% | 60% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.591% | 55% | 20% | 25% | 76% | 91% | 56% | 64% |
15:45 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.583% | 24% | 23% | 53% | 61% | 83% | 39% | 59% |
19:00 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.577% | 42% | 26% | 32% | 53% | 77% | 30% | 57% |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
| 15:30 · EredivisieEredivisie | O1.588% | 75% | 15% | 10% | 71% | 88% | 50% | 58% |
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 1 Nov 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 · Serie ASerie A  | O1.580% | 61% | 22% | 17% | 57% | 80% | 34% | 52% |
13:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | U3.587% | 37% | 32% | 30% | 31% | 58% | 13% | 48% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.582% | 37% | 25% | 38% | 59% | 82% | 37% | 60% |
| 13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie | O1.580% | 26% | 24% | 50% | 57% | 80% | 34% | 58% |
14:00 · Ligue 1Ligue 1  | O1.581% | 54% | 23% | 23% | 59% | 81% | 36% | 57% |