Getafe CF vs Sevilla FC prediction

La Liga · Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UK

Getafe CF vs Sevilla FC prediction (Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UK): Getafe CF 37% · Draw 32% · Sevilla FC 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 31%. Most likely score: 0-0. Expected goals 1.04–0.91. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 48%, No 52%. Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%).

Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK · Updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Getafe vs Sevilla preview

Getafe (15th, 9 pts) host Sevilla (6th, 14 pts) in the La Liga. Getafe have taken 5 points from their last 5 games (DLWLD) and Sevilla 7 points from 5 (LDLWW). Sevilla: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.

Our model sees little between the sides: Getafe 37%, Sevilla 30%. A draw is more likely than usual at 32%; 28% of La Liga matches end level. Expected goals are 1.04 for Getafe and 0.91 for Sevilla, and the most likely score is 0-0 (15%).

The model expects a tighter game than usual: Under 2.5 is 69%, while 56% of La Liga matches go over 2.5. In their last 5 meetings, Getafe won 1, Sevilla won 3 and 1 ended level; 1 had over 2.5 goals.

Under 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 69%, which still fails about 3 times in 10.

Who will win Getafe CF vs Sevilla FC?

This is close to a coin flip: Getafe CF 37%, Sevilla FC 30%, with the draw at 32%. Recent form: Getafe CF DLWLDD, Sevilla FC LDLWWD (latest first).

Sevilla have not won in their last 3 league games.

Getafe CF

37%

Draw

32%

Sevilla FC

30%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 69%; Over 2.5 is 31%.

Under 2.5 in all 5 Getafe home games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	58%	42%	1.71
2.5 goals	31%	69%	3.24
3.5 goals	13%	87%	7.51

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 48% chance: Getafe CF score in about 65% of simulated outcomes and Sevilla FC in about 60%, and both need to happen.

Model expects 1.9 total goals.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	48%	2.08
No	52%	1.92

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Getafe CF win	37%	2.67
Draw	32%	3.10
Sevilla FC win	30%	3.29
Over 2.5	31%	3.24
Under 2.5	69%	1.45

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

Share:X WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 1.9 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Getafe CF goals (rows) × Sevilla FC goals (columns)
Getafe \ Sevilla	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	15%	12%	6%	2%	0%	0%
1	14%	14%	6%	2%	0%	0%
2	8%	7%	3%	1%	0%	0%
3	3%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
4	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

0-0

15%

1-0

14%

1-1

14%

0-1

12%

2-0

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Getafe and Sevilla played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Current streaks

Sevilla: both teams scored in each of their last 3 league games.
Sevilla: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.
Sevilla: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.
Sevilla have not won in their last 3 league games.

La Liga games only, runs of three or more. Getafe and Sevilla.

How Getafe and Sevilla compare this season

Stat	Getafe (home, 5)	Sevilla (away, 5)	La Liga average
Over 1.5	60% (3/5)	80% (4/5)	77%
Over 2.5	0% (0/5)	60% (3/5)	56%
Over 3.5	0% (0/5)	60% (3/5)	37%
BTTS	60% (3/5)	80% (4/5)	60%
Win %	40% (2/5)	40% (2/5)	44% home · 29% away
Goals for per game	1.00	1.80	1.52
Goals against per game	0.60	1.80	1.52

La Liga average from 94 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

La Liga table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Getafe	15	9	9
Sevilla	6	14	9

Full La Liga table

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Getafe 1 win, 1 draw, Sevilla 3 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5; both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 22 Feb 2026	La Liga	Getafe v Sevilla	0–1
Mon, 25 Aug 2025	La Liga	Sevilla v Getafe	1–2
Sat, 1 Feb 2025	La Liga	Getafe v Sevilla	0–0
Sat, 14 Sept 2024	La Liga	Sevilla v Getafe	1–0
Sat, 30 Mar 2024	La Liga	Getafe v Sevilla	0–1

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Getafe v Sevilla?: Our model makes Getafe the more likely winner at 37%: Getafe 37%, draw 32%, Sevilla 30%. Sevilla have not won in their last 3 league games.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Getafe v Sevilla?: Over 2.5 goals is 31% and under 2.5 is 69%, with expected goals of 1.9. Under 2.5 in all 5 Getafe home games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 0-0 at 15%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Getafe and Sevilla played recently?: Latest first: Getafe DLWLD, Sevilla LDLWW (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming La Liga predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming La Liga predictions

Sun, 25 Oct 2026
13:00 · La LigaLa LigaAthleticvGetafe	U3.590%	45%	33%	22%	53%	26%	10%	46%	26%	53%	10%	46%
15:15 · La LigaLa LigaCeltavReal Betis	O1.577%	38%	26%	35%	77%	53%	30%	55%	53%	77%	30%	55%
17:30 · La LigaLa LigaReal SociedadvLevante	O1.581%	51%	24%	26%	81%	59%	37%	56%	59%	81%	37%	56%
20:00 · La LigaLa LigaBarçavReal Madrid	O1.589%	51%	21%	28%	89%	73%	52%	61%	73%	89%	52%	61%
Mon, 26 Oct 2026
20:00 · La LigaLa LigaSevillavOsasuna	O1.575%	45%	26%	29%	75%	50%	28%	54%	50%	75%	28%	54%
Fri, 30 Oct 2026
20:00 · La LigaLa LigaVillarrealvEspanyol	O1.582%	60%	22%	19%	82%	59%	37%	55%	59%	82%	37%	55%

Other matches the same day