Frosinone Calcio vs Torino FC prediction

Serie A · Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK

Frosinone Calcio vs Torino FC prediction (Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK): Frosinone Calcio 46% · Draw 26% · Torino FC 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.57–1.16. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 53%, No 47%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK · Updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK

By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.

Frosinone vs Torino preview

Frosinone (6th, 13 pts) host Torino (7th, 13 pts) in the Serie A. Frosinone have taken 10 points from their last 5 games (WLWDW) and Torino 10 points from 5 (WWWDL). Torino: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 13 league games.

Our model favours Frosinone at 46% to Torino's 28%. Expected goals are 1.57 for Frosinone and 1.16 for Torino, and the most likely score is 1-1 (12%).

Over 2.5 goals is 51%, below the Serie A rate of 60%, so the model expects fewer goals than a typical Serie A match.

Both teams to score is the model's clearest call at 53%, which still fails about 5 times in 10.

Who will win Frosinone Calcio vs Torino FC?

Frosinone Calcio are favoured at 46%, but the draw and a Torino FC win together still account for 54%. Recent form: Frosinone Calcio WLWDWW, Torino FC WWWDLW (latest first).

Frosinone won 3 of 4 home games this season.

Frosinone Calcio

46%

Draw

26%

Torino FC

28%

New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 51% and Under 2.5 is 49%.

Over 2.5 in 6 of 8 Torino games this season.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	76%	24%	1.32
2.5 goals	51%	49%	1.95
3.5 goals	29%	71%	3.44

What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance: Frosinone Calcio score in about 79% of simulated outcomes and Torino FC in about 69%, and both need to happen.

BTTS in 6 of 8 Torino games this season.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	53%	1.90
No	47%	2.11

What does BTTS mean? · BTTS tips today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Frosinone Calcio win	46%	2.16
Draw	26%	3.86
Torino FC win	28%	3.61
Over 2.5	51%	1.95
Under 2.5	49%	2.05

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

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What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Model expects 2.7 total goals.

Correct score probabilities: Frosinone Calcio goals (rows) × Torino FC goals (columns)
Frosinone \ Torino	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7%	7%	4%	2%	0%	0%
1	10%	12%	7%	3%	1%	0%
2	8%	9%	5%	2%	1%	0%
3	4%	5%	3%	1%	0%	0%
4	2%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Other	1% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

12%

1-0

10%

2-1

2-0

0-1

Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today

How have Frosinone and Torino played recently?

Latest first. Scores link to each match.

Frosinone, last 5

Frosinone, last 5 at home

Torino, last 5

Torino, last 5 away

Current streaks

Torino: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 13 league games.
Frosinone: over 1.5 goals in each of their last 6 league games.
Torino are unbeaten in their last 4 league games.
Torino: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 3 league games.
Torino have won each of their last 3 league games.

Serie A games only, runs of three or more. Frosinone and Torino.

How Frosinone and Torino compare this season

Stat	Frosinone (home, 4)	Torino (away, 4)	Serie A average
Over 1.5	75% (3/4)	100% (4/4)	85%
Over 2.5	50% (2/4)	75% (3/4)	60%
Over 3.5	50% (2/4)	0% (0/4)	31%
BTTS	50% (2/4)	75% (3/4)	57%
Win %	75% (3/4)	50% (2/4)	48% home · 35% away
Goals for per game	2.25	1.75	1.50
Goals against per game	1.25	1.00	1.50

Serie A average from 75 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.

Serie A table

Team	Pos	Pts	P
Frosinone	6	13	7
Torino	7	13	8

Full Serie A table

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Frosinone 0 wins, 2 draws, Torino 0 wins. Over 2.5 goals in 0 of 2; both teams scored in 0 of 2.

Date	Competition	Match	Score
Sun, 21 Apr 2024	Serie A	Torino v Frosinone	0–0
Sun, 10 Dec 2023	Serie A	Frosinone v Torino	0–0

90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Frosinone v Torino?: Our model makes Frosinone the more likely winner at 46%: Frosinone 46%, draw 26%, Torino 28%. Frosinone won 3 of 4 home games this season.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Frosinone v Torino?: Over 2.5 goals is 51% and under 2.5 is 49%, with expected goals of 2.7. Over 2.5 in 6 of 8 Torino games this season.
What is the most likely score?: 1-1 at 12%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
How have Frosinone and Torino played recently?: Latest first: Frosinone WLWDW, Torino WWWDL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.

Upcoming Serie A predictions

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Upcoming Serie A predictions

Sun, 25 Oct 2026
11:30 · Serie ASerie AIntervFiorentina	O1.586%	72%	17%	11%	86%	67%	46%	53%	67%	86%	46%	53%
14:00 · Serie ASerie AAtalantavFrosinone	O1.579%	56%	23%	20%	79%	56%	34%	53%	56%	79%	34%	53%
14:00 · Serie ASerie AGenoavVenezia	U3.576%	39%	28%	33%	72%	46%	24%	51%	46%	72%	24%	51%
17:00 · Serie ASerie ALeccevJuventus	U3.582%	18%	28%	54%	64%	37%	18%	47%	37%	64%	18%	47%
19:45 · Serie ASerie AUdinesevMilan	O1.574%	26%	26%	48%	74%	49%	27%	52%	49%	74%	27%	52%
Tue, 27 Oct 2026
17:30 · Serie ASerie ASassuolovLazio	O1.575%	32%	27%	42%	75%	50%	28%	53%	50%	75%	28%	53%

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