Correct score predictions Fri, 23 Oct 2026
Football predictions for correct score, ranked from the highest model probability down.
A correct score prediction names the exact 90-minute result, such as 1-1 or 2-1; every other score loses. Correct score betting explained
13% is ProbaPredict's most confident correct score Fri, 23 Oct 2026: 1-1 in Torino FC vs AC Monza. Most likely scores usually sit at 10–13%, so most correct-score picks lose; use them to judge which results are plausible.
These are Fri, 23 Oct 2026's football predictions for correct score, ranked by the model's probability. Even the top score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose. Our 60%+ Correct score picks have been correct 11% of the time over the last 30 days (218 graded).
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| 2nd | 3rd | Fair odds (top) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||||||||
FT · Serie ASerie A  | 1-1 13%✕ | 1-0 10% | 2-1 9% | 7.95 | O1.575%✓ | 46%✓ | 26%✕ | 28%✕ | 49%✓ | 75%✓ | 27%✓ | 52%✓ |
20:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | 1-1 12% | 1-0 12% | 2-0 10% | 8.01 | U3.575% | 50% | 26% | 23% | 47% | 72% | 25% | 52% |
20:45 · PrimeiraPrimeira Liga  | 1-1 12% | 1-0 11% | 2-1 9% | 8.08 | O1.574% | 49% | 26% | 25% | 49% | 74% | 27% | 51% |
20:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | 1-1 12% | 1-2 9% | 0-1 8% | 8.13 | O1.579% | 30% | 26% | 44% | 55% | 79% | 33% | 58% |
19:45 · Ligue 1Ligue 1  | 1-1 12% | 1-0 9% | 2-1 9% | 8.17 | O1.577% | 45% | 26% | 29% | 52% | 77% | 30% | 56% |
20:00 · EFL ChampChampionship  | 1-1 12% | 1-2 9% | 0-1 8% | 8.56 | O1.580% | 33% | 25% | 42% | 57% | 80% | 34% | 56% |
19:00 · EredivisieEredivisie  | 1-1 10% | 2-1 10% | 2-0 7% | 9.69 | O1.584% | 51% | 23% | 26% | 63% | 84% | 40% | 60% |
FT · BundesligaBundesliga  | 2-1 10%✕ | 2-0 9% | 1-1 8% | 10.42 | O1.586%✓ | 65%✕ | 19%✕ | 16%✓ | 68%✓ | 86%✓ | 46%✓ | 61%✓ |
Our Correct score picks: 11% correct from 218 graded matches (back-test 13% from 18,812). See the accuracy record.
How do our correct score predictions work?
A correct score prediction names the exact 90-minute result, such as 1-1 or 2-1. Every other outcome loses, so even the most likely score is unlikely. The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Our model rates every team's attacking and defensive strength from recent results, weighting newer matches more, adds home advantage, and gives every scoreline from 0-0 to 10-10 a probability, with a small correction for low-scoring draws. The table shows the three most likely scores for each match, and each match page shows the full grid.
Fair odds are 100 divided by the percentage: a 12% score equals fair odds of 8.33. Bookmaker prices on correct scores usually carry a large margin, so real odds are often much shorter than fair. Treat these numbers as a guide to which results are plausible, not a forecast of the exact score.
New to this? Read: Correct score betting explained · What is BTTS?
These football predictions rank matches by probability while keeping the uncertainty visible.
More football predictions
Frequently asked questions
- What is the most common score in the competitions we cover?
- Across football, 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1 are usually the most common results.
- How is the Correct score probability calculated?
- Our model rates each team's attack and defence from recent results, adds home advantage, and builds a probability for every scoreline from 0-0 to 10-10. The market probability adds up every scoreline that wins it.
- What is the most likely Correct score pick Fri, 23 Oct 2026?
- Torino v Monza 1-1 at 13% (fair odds 7.95). Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How accurate are your Correct score predictions?
- Our Correct score picks: 11% correct from 218 graded matches (back-test 13% from 18,812). Every ProbaPredict pick is graded in public after full time, including the ones that lose.