Bundesliga · Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 16:30 UK
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction (Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 16:30 UK): Eintracht Frankfurt 51% · Draw 22% · Hamburger SV 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.99–1.41. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 63%, No 37%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).
Published · Updated
By ProbaPredict Data Desk. These probabilities are generated automatically by our statistical model (ProbaPredict ratings, a Dixon-Coles goals model), not written by a tipster. How the model works · Graded track record.
Frankfurt vs HSV preview
Frankfurt (11th, 8 pts) host HSV (9th, 9 pts) in the Bundesliga. Frankfurt have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (WLDWL) and HSV 9 points from 5 (WWWLL). Frankfurt: at least one side failed to score in each of their last 3 league games.
Our model favours Frankfurt at 51% to HSV's 27%. Expected goals are 1.99 for Frankfurt and 1.41 for HSV, and the most likely score is 1-1 (10%).
The goal markets sit close to the Bundesliga norm: Over 2.5 at 66% and both teams to score at 63%.
Over 2.5 goals is the model's clearest call at 66%, which still fails about 3 times in 10.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Eintracht Frankfurt are favoured at 51%, but the draw and a Hamburger SV win together still account for 49%. Recent form: Eintracht Frankfurt WLDWLD, Hamburger SV WWWLLL (latest first).
HSV lost 3 of 4 away games this season.
New to this market? What is 1X2 in betting?
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals is likely at 66%.
Over 2.5 in 5 of 7 Frankfurt games this season.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 86% | 14% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 goals | 66% | 34% | 1.52 |
| 3.5 goals | 44% | 56% | 2.27 |
What does over 2.5 goals mean? · Over 1.5 goals explained · Over 2.5 goals tips today
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 63% chance: Eintracht Frankfurt score in about 86% of simulated outcomes and Hamburger SV in about 76%, and both need to happen.
BTTS in 2 of 3 Frankfurt home games this season.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| No | 37% | 2.69 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin. See how betting odds work, the fractional odds chart and, for multiples, the acca calculator.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 |
| Hamburger SV win | 27% | 3.71 |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.94 |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
Model expects 3.4 total goals.
| Eintracht \ Hamburger | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 1 | 6% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| 2 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 2% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Correct score betting explained · Correct score predictions today
How have Frankfurt and HSV played recently?
Latest first. Scores link to each match.
Current streaks
- Frankfurt: at least one side failed to score in each of their last 3 league games.
Bundesliga games only, runs of three or more. Frankfurt and HSV.
How Frankfurt and HSV compare this season
| Stat | Frankfurt (home, 3) | HSV (away, 4) | Bundesliga average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 67% (2/3) | 75% (3/4) | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% (2/3) | 50% (2/4) | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% (2/3) | 50% (2/4) | 54% |
| BTTS | 67% (2/3) | 25% (1/4) | 57% |
| Win % | 33% (1/3) | 25% (1/4) | 51% home · 28% away |
| Goals for per game | 1.33 | 0.75 | 1.78 |
| Goals against per game | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.78 |
Bundesliga average from 61 matches (2026-27). Average goals for per game is per team.
Bundesliga table
| Team | Pos | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankfurt | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| HSV | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Frankfurt 0 wins, 1 draw, HSV 1 win. Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 2; both teams scored in 2 of 2.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 2 May 2026 | Bundesliga | Frankfurt v HSV | 1–2 |
| Sat, 20 Dec 2025 | Bundesliga | HSV v Frankfurt | 1–1 |
90-minute scores, our fixtures plus football-data.co.uk history.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Frankfurt v HSV?
- Our model makes Frankfurt the more likely winner at 51%: Frankfurt 51%, draw 22%, HSV 27%. HSV lost 3 of 4 away games this season.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals in Frankfurt v HSV?
- Over 2.5 goals is 66% and under 2.5 is 34%, with expected goals of 3.4. Over 2.5 in 5 of 7 Frankfurt games this season.
- What is the most likely score?
- 1-1 at 10%. Even the most likely score usually has only about a 10–14% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
- How have Frankfurt and HSV played recently?
- Latest first: Frankfurt WLDWL, HSV WWWLL (W win, D draw, L loss). ProbaPredict grades every pick after full time.
Related
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hamburger SV
- Bundesliga predictions
- Bundesliga table
- Bundesliga Home win
- Bundesliga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Upcoming Bundesliga predictions
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 · BundesligaBundesliga  | O1.588% | 28% | 22% | 50% | 70% | 88% | 48% | 64% |
16:30 · BundesligaBundesliga  | O1.591% | 14% | 16% | 69% | 77% | 91% | 57% | 64% |
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
19:30 · BundesligaBundesliga  | O1.581% | 40% | 25% | 35% | 59% | 81% | 37% | 61% |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
14:30 · BundesligaBundesliga | O1.580% | 38% | 25% | 36% | 57% | 80% | 35% | 61% |
14:30 · BundesligaBundesliga | O1.586% | 53% | 22% | 25% | 66% | 86% | 44% | 63% |
14:30 · BundesligaBundesliga | O1.586% | 41% | 23% | 36% | 66% | 86% | 44% | 64% |
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 1 Nov 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:15 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.584% | 43% | 24% | 33% | 63% | 84% | 41% | 61% |
11:30 · Serie ASerie A  | O1.580% | 61% | 22% | 17% | 57% | 80% | 34% | 52% |
13:00 · La LigaLa Liga  | U3.587% | 37% | 32% | 30% | 31% | 58% | 13% | 48% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.582% | 37% | 25% | 38% | 59% | 82% | 37% | 60% |
13:30 · EredivisieEredivisie  | O1.580% | 26% | 24% | 50% | 57% | 80% | 34% | 58% |