Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets prediction
NBA · Thursday, 29 October 2026, 00:00 UK
Houston Rockets are favourites at 76% (Milwaukee Bucks 24%). Projected score MIL 107-116 HOU: HOU by about 9, 223 points in total. HOU -9.5: 49%. Over 223.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Rockets rate 10.8 points per game better on our numbers (net +4.0 against −6.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Milwaukee Bucks 24% (fair odds 4.16)
Houston Rockets 76% (fair odds 1.32)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.
Handicap (HOU)
- HOU -4.564%
- HOU -9.549%
- HOU -14.534%
Chance HOU wins by more than the line. Projected margin 9.
Total points
- Over 213.570%
- Over 218.560%
- Over 223.549%
- Over 228.538%
- Over 233.528%
Projected 223, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr2026 | Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2720 | 2724 | 3134 | 3435 | 119 113 |
| 09 Nov2025 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets | 3028 | 3122 | 2432 | 3040 | 115 122 |
| 26 Feb2025 | Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks | 3025 | 2734 | 2826 | 1512 | 100 97 |
| 19 Nov2024 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets | 2728 | 3017 | 2635 | 1820 | 101 100 |
| 07 Jan2024 | Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2918 | 3425 | 2630 | 2335 | 112 108 |
| 18 Dec2023 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets | 3328 | 3832 | 2931 | 2828 | 128 119 |
Eastern Conference
Houston Rockets play in the other conference: 3-0, 6 in the Western.
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 4 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 5 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 6 | Washington Wizards | 3 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 348 | .667 |
| 7 | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 341 | .667 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Milwaukee Bucks: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks | 3425 | 3035 | 3327 | 3029 | 127 116 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls | 3217 | 3044 | 4241 | 2130 | 125 132 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2523 | 2633 | 3937 | 3823 | 128 116 |
Houston Rockets: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets | 2630 | 2229 | 3333 | 3329 | 114 121 |
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks | 3226 | 3812 | 3038 | 2834 | 128 110 |
Milwaukee Bucks at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct2026 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls | 3217 | 3044 | 4241 | 2130 | 125 132 |
Houston Rockets on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets | 2630 | 2229 | 3333 | 3329 | 114 121 |
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
Next games
Milwaukee Bucks
- 01 Novvs Cleveland CavaliersCLE 71%
- 03 Novat Minnesota TimberwolvesMIN 84%
Houston Rockets
- 31 Octat Dallas MavericksHOU 68%
- 01 Novvs Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 63%
- 03 Novvs Boston CelticsHOU 57%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets?
- Our model makes Houston Rockets favourites at 76%, with a projected score of MIL 107-116 HOU.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- HOU -9.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; HOU is projected to win by about 9.
- Over or under?
- We project 223 total points including overtime. Over 223.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
- Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards
- Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets
- Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers
- Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic
- Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
- New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
- Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs
- Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.

