Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards prediction
NBA · Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:00 UK
PickCLE123-111
Cleveland Cavaliers are favourites at 81% (Washington Wizards 19%). Projected score CLE 123-111 WSH: CLE by about 11, 234 points in total. CLE -11.5: 50%. Over 234.5: 50%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Cavaliers rate 9.8 points per game better on our numbers (net +2.0 against −7.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 11.1 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
- Cavaliers won all of the last 6 meetings.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Cleveland Cavaliers 81% (fair odds 1.23)
Washington Wizards 19% (fair odds 5.27)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 4%.
Handicap (CLE)
- CLE -6.565%
- CLE -11.550%
- CLE -16.535%
Chance CLE wins by more than the line. Projected margin 11.
Total points
- Over 224.571%
- Over 229.561%
- Over 234.550%
- Over 239.539%
- Over 244.529%
Projected 234, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards | 4321 | 2234 | 3440 | 3122 | 130 117 |
| 12 Feb2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards | 4024 | 3637 | 3228 | 3024 | 138 113 |
| 13 Dec2025 | Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 2435 | 3627 | 4023 | 2645 | 126 130 |
| 08 Nov2025 | Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 2639 | 3437 | 2733 | 2839 | 115 148 |
| 08 Feb2025 | Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 3335 | 3429 | 2630 | 3140 | 124 134 |
| 14 Dec2024 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards | 2525 | 3229 | 3026 | 2825 | 115 105 |
Cleveland Cavaliers won 6 (100%)Washington Wizards won 0 (0%)
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 4 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 5 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 6 | Washington Wizards | 3 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 348 | .667 |
| 7 | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 341 | .667 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Cleveland Cavaliers: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets | 3530 | 3324 | 2826 | 2941 | 125 121 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 1835 | 2734 | 3721 | 3216 | 114 106 |
Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)
Washington Wizards: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards | 2728 | 3529 | 2040 | 3827 | 120 124 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors | 2134 | 3126 | 2521 | 2531 | 102 112 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2523 | 2633 | 3937 | 3823 | 128 116 |
Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)
Cleveland Cavaliers at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets | 3530 | 3324 | 2826 | 2941 | 125 121 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Washington Wizards on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards | 2728 | 3529 | 2040 | 3827 | 120 124 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Next games
Cleveland Cavaliers
- 30 Octat Atlanta HawksATL 58%
- 01 Novat Milwaukee BucksCLE 71%
- 03 Novvs Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 64%
Washington Wizards
- 30 Octvs Charlotte HornetsCHA 74%
- 03 Novat Orlando MagicORL 75%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards?
- Our model makes Cleveland Cavaliers favourites at 81%, with a projected score of CLE 123-111 WSH.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- CLE -11.5 covers 50% of the time on our numbers; CLE is projected to win by about 11.
- Over or under?
- We project 234 total points including overtime. Over 234.5: 50%; under: 50%.
More NBA games
- Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat
- Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets
- Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers
- Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic
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- New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
- Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.