Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction
NBA · Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:00 UK
Philadelphia 76ers are slight favourites at 58% (Indiana Pacers 42%). Projected score IND 114-117 PHI: PHI by about 3, 231 points in total. PHI -3.5: 47%. Over 231.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- 76ers rate 4.2 points per game better on our numbers (net +0.6 against −3.6), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 7.4 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Indiana Pacers 42% (fair odds 2.38)
Philadelphia 76ers 58% (fair odds 1.72)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (PHI)
- PHI -3.547%
- PHI -8.532%
Chance PHI wins by more than the line. Projected margin 3.
Total points
- Over 221.570%
- Over 226.560%
- Over 231.549%
- Over 236.538%
- Over 241.528%
Projected 231, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr2026 | Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers | 2128 | 3030 | 2631 | 1716 | 94 105 |
| 25 Feb2026 | Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers | 3830 | 2745 | 2031 | 2929 | 114 135 |
| 20 Jan2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers | 3330 | 1725 | 3226 | 3123 | 113 104 |
| 13 Dec2025 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers | 3431 | 2927 | 2732 | 2515 | 115 105 |
| 14 Mar2025 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers | 2618 | 2529 | 2431 | 2534 | 100 112 |
| 19 Jan2025 | Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers | 2823 | 3336 | 2821 | 2622 | 115 102 |
Indiana Pacers won 2 (33%)Philadelphia 76ers won 4 (67%)
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 4 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 5 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 6 | Washington Wizards | 3 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 348 | .667 |
| 7 | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 341 | .667 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Indiana Pacers: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers | 2624 | 3041 | 2437 | 2934 | 109 136 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks | 2744 | 1633 | 3321 | 2923 | 105 121 |
| 22 Oct2026 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers | 3138 | 3518 | 2630 | 2837 | 120 123 |
Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)
Philadelphia 76ers: last 4 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons | 2234 | 2222 | 2523 | 2427 | 93 106 |
| 25 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks | 3425 | 3035 | 3327 | 3029 | 127 116 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 1835 | 2734 | 3721 | 3216 | 114 106 |
| 21 Oct2026 | New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers | 2523 | 3331 | 1829 | 2423 | 100 106 |
Won 3 (75%)Lost 1 (25%)
Indiana Pacers at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks | 2744 | 1633 | 3321 | 2923 | 105 121 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 1 (100%)
Philadelphia 76ers on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct2026 | New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers | 2523 | 3331 | 1829 | 2423 | 100 106 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Next games
Indiana Pacers
- 31 Octat Miami HeatMIA 64%
- 01 Novvs Brooklyn NetsIND 71%
- 03 Novvs Atlanta HawksATL 69%
Philadelphia 76ers
- 30 Octvs New York KnicksNY 66%
- 31 Octat Charlotte HornetsCHA 59%
- 03 Novvs Chicago BullsPHI 74%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers?
- Our model makes Philadelphia 76ers slight favourites at 58%, with a projected score of IND 114-117 PHI.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- PHI -3.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers; PHI is projected to win by about 3.
- Over or under?
- We project 231 total points including overtime. Over 231.5: 49%; under: 51%.
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.