Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs prediction
NBA · Thursday, 29 October 2026, 01:00 UK
San Antonio Spurs are favourites at 82% (Utah Jazz 18%). Projected score UTAH 110-122 SA: SA by about 12, 233 points in total. SA -12.5: 48%. Over 233.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Spurs rate 14.9 points per game better on our numbers (net +8.1 against −6.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 10.9 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Utah Jazz 18% (fair odds 5.49)
San Antonio Spurs 82% (fair odds 1.22)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 4%.
Handicap (SA)
- SA -7.563%
- SA -12.548%
- SA -17.533%
Chance SA wins by more than the line. Projected margin 12.
Total points
- Over 223.569%
- Over 228.559%
- Over 233.548%
- Over 238.537%
- Over 243.527%
Projected 233, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan2026 | Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs | 3131 | 2234 | 3932 | 1729 | 109 126 |
| 19 Jan2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 3426 | 2731 | 3523 | 2730 | 123 110 |
| 28 Dec2025 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 4032 | 2038 | 2728 | 2729 | 114 127 |
| 27 Nov2024 | Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs | 3532 | 3134 | 2730 | 2232 | 115 128 |
| 22 Nov2024 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 1732 | 3435 | 3422 | 4129 | 126 118 |
| 09 Nov2024 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 2225 | 2328 | 3729 | 2829 | 110 111 |
Utah Jazz won 2 (33%)San Antonio Spurs won 4 (67%)
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Utah Jazz: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4729 | 2445 | 2929 | 2329 | 123 132 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
San Antonio Spurs: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs | 3132 | 2936 | 2924 | 1730 | 106 122 |
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
| 21 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 2834 | 1631 | 3628 | 2423 | 104 116 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
Utah Jazz at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4729 | 2445 | 2929 | 2329 | 123 132 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 |
Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)
San Antonio Spurs on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs | 3132 | 2936 | 2924 | 1730 | 106 122 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Next games
Utah Jazz
- 31 Octvs Portland Trail BlazersPOR 73%
- 03 Novat San Antonio SpursSA 90%
San Antonio Spurs
- 01 Novvs Minnesota TimberwolvesSA 70%
- 03 Novvs Utah JazzSA 90%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs?
- Our model makes San Antonio Spurs favourites at 82%, with a projected score of UTAH 110-122 SA.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- SA -12.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; SA is projected to win by about 12.
- Over or under?
- We project 233 total points including overtime. Over 233.5: 48%; under: 52%.
More NBA games
- Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards
- Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets
- Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers
- Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic
- Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks
- Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
- New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
- Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.