Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets prediction
NBA · Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:00 UK
Detroit Pistons are slight favourites at 62% (Charlotte Hornets 38%). Projected score DET 109-106 CHA: DET by about 4, 215 points in total. DET -4.5: 48%. Over 215.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Pistons rate 3.8 points per game better on our numbers (net +5.9 against +2.1), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Expect a lower-scoring game: between them these teams score and concede 7.2 points fewer than an average pairing.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Detroit Pistons 62% (fair odds 1.62)
Charlotte Hornets 38% (fair odds 2.62)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (DET)
- DET -4.548%
- DET -9.533%
Chance DET wins by more than the line. Projected margin 4.
Total points
- Over 205.570%
- Over 210.560%
- Over 215.549%
- Over 220.538%
- Over 225.528%
Projected 215, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons | 3036 | 3532 | 2525 | 1025 | 100 118 | |
| 10 Feb2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons | 3329 | 2432 | 2127 | 2622 | 104 110 | |
| 21 Dec2025 | Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets | 3327 | 2218 | 2427 | 3314 | 112 86 | |
| 09 Feb2025 | Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets | 3915 | 2731 | 2427 | 2229 | 112 102 | |
| 04 Jan2025 | Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets | 2631 | 2634 | 3217 | 1412 | 98 94 | |
| 22 Nov2024 | Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons | 3327 | 3032 | 3020 | 1630 | 1412 | 123 121 |
Detroit Pistons won 5 (83%)Charlotte Hornets won 1 (17%)
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 4 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 5 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 6 | Washington Wizards | 3 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 348 | .667 |
| 7 | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 341 | .667 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Detroit Pistons: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons | 2234 | 2222 | 2523 | 2427 | 93 106 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons | 2641 | 2724 | 2738 | 3125 | 111 128 |
| 20 Oct2026 | Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics | 2728 | 1830 | 3730 | 3925 | 121 113 |
Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Charlotte Hornets: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat | 3131 | 3527 | 3017 | 1935 | 115 110 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks | 2033 | 2335 | 1929 | 1931 | 81 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets | 2327 | 2527 | 3332 | 2224 | 103 110 |
Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)
Detroit Pistons at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct2026 | Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics | 2728 | 1830 | 3730 | 3925 | 121 113 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Charlotte Hornets on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets | 2327 | 2527 | 3332 | 2224 | 103 110 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Next games
Detroit Pistons
- 30 Octat Brooklyn NetsDET 85%
- 03 Novat Charlotte HornetsDET 57%
Charlotte Hornets
- 30 Octat Washington WizardsCHA 74%
- 31 Octvs Philadelphia 76ersCHA 59%
- 03 Novvs Detroit PistonsDET 57%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets?
- Our model makes Detroit Pistons slight favourites at 62%, with a projected score of DET 109-106 CHA.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- DET -4.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; DET is projected to win by about 4.
- Over or under?
- We project 215 total points including overtime. Over 215.5: 49%; under: 51%.
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.