Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic prediction
NBA · Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:30 UK
Toronto Raptors are slight favourites at 61% (Orlando Magic 39%). Projected score TOR 111-108 ORL: TOR by about 4, 219 points in total. TOR -4.5: 48%. Over 219.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Expect a lower-scoring game: between them these teams score and concede 4.2 points fewer than an average pairing.
- Raptors rate 2.1 points per game better on our numbers (net +2.9 against +0.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Toronto Raptors 61% (fair odds 1.63)
Orlando Magic 39% (fair odds 2.58)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (TOR)
- TOR -4.548%
- TOR -9.533%
Chance TOR wins by more than the line. Projected margin 4.
Total points
- Over 209.571%
- Over 214.560%
- Over 219.549%
- Over 224.539%
- Over 229.528%
Projected 219, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar2026 | Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic | 3820 | 3223 | 4325 | 2619 | 139 87 |
| 31 Jan2026 | Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors | 2928 | 2129 | 3642 | 4421 | 130 120 |
| 30 Dec2025 | Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic | 1829 | 3636 | 3029 | 2312 | 107 106 |
| 05 Mar2025 | Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors | 2222 | 3227 | 1931 | 4034 | 113 114 |
| 02 Mar2025 | Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors | 1927 | 2821 | 2533 | 3023 | 102 104 |
| 22 Jan2025 | Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic | 2437 | 2113 | 4020 | 2423 | 109 93 |
Toronto Raptors won 5 (83%)Orlando Magic won 1 (17%)
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Charlotte Hornets | 4 | 3 | 1 | 416 | 444 | .750 |
| 4 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 6 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 7 | Washington Wizards | 4 | 2 | 2 | 457 | 458 | .500 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Toronto Raptors: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors | 3221 | 2326 | 3515 | 2732 | 117 94 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors | 2134 | 3126 | 2521 | 2531 | 102 112 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls | 4323 | 2621 | 3427 | 3221 | 135 92 |
Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)
Orlando Magic: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic | 2821 | 2427 | 2323 | 2740 | 102 111 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2026 | 2531 | 1529 | 3329 | 93 115 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks | 3328 | 2944 | 3827 | 2533 | 125 132 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
Toronto Raptors at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls | 4323 | 2621 | 3427 | 3221 | 135 92 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Orlando Magic on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic | 2821 | 2427 | 2323 | 2740 | 102 111 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Next games
Toronto Raptors
- 30 Octvs Orlando MagicTOR 61%
- 02 Novat Los Angeles LakersLAL 54%
- 03 Novat LA ClippersLAC 50%
Orlando Magic
- 30 Octat Toronto RaptorsTOR 61%
- 01 Novvs Boston CelticsBOS 57%
- 03 Novvs Washington WizardsORL 75%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic?
- Our model makes Toronto Raptors slight favourites at 61%, with a projected score of TOR 111-108 ORL.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- TOR -4.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; TOR is projected to win by about 4.
- Over or under?
- We project 219 total points including overtime. Over 219.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
- Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards
- Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets
- Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers
- Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks
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- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
- New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.