Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons prediction
NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 00:30 UK
Detroit Pistons are slight favourites at 57% (Charlotte Hornets 43%). Projected score CHA 107-109 DET: DET by about 2, 216 points in total. DET -2.5: 49%. Over 216.5: 50%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Pistons rate 3.8 points per game better on our numbers (net +5.9 against +2.1), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Expect a lower-scoring game: between them these teams score and concede 7.2 points fewer than an average pairing.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Charlotte Hornets 43% (fair odds 2.30)
Detroit Pistons 57% (fair odds 1.77)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (DET)
- DET -2.549%
- DET -7.534%
Chance DET wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.
Total points
- Over 206.571%
- Over 211.561%
- Over 216.550%
- Over 221.539%
- Over 226.529%
Projected 216, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons | 3036 | 3532 | 2525 | 1025 | 100 118 | |
| 10 Feb2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons | 3329 | 2432 | 2127 | 2622 | 104 110 | |
| 21 Dec2025 | Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets | 3327 | 2218 | 2427 | 3314 | 112 86 | |
| 09 Feb2025 | Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets | 3915 | 2731 | 2427 | 2229 | 112 102 | |
| 04 Jan2025 | Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets | 2631 | 2634 | 3217 | 1412 | 98 94 | |
| 22 Nov2024 | Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons | 3327 | 3032 | 3020 | 1630 | 1412 | 123 121 |
Charlotte Hornets won 1 (17%)Detroit Pistons won 5 (83%)
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 4 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 5 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 6 | Washington Wizards | 3 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 348 | .667 |
| 7 | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 341 | .667 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Charlotte Hornets: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat | 3131 | 3527 | 3017 | 1935 | 115 110 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks | 2033 | 2335 | 1929 | 1931 | 81 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets | 2327 | 2527 | 3332 | 2224 | 103 110 |
Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)
Detroit Pistons: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons | 2234 | 2222 | 2523 | 2427 | 93 106 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons | 2641 | 2724 | 2738 | 3125 | 111 128 |
| 20 Oct2026 | Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics | 2728 | 1830 | 3730 | 3925 | 121 113 |
Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Charlotte Hornets at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat | 3131 | 3527 | 3017 | 1935 | 115 110 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks | 2033 | 2335 | 1929 | 1931 | 81 128 |
Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)
Detroit Pistons on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons | 2234 | 2222 | 2523 | 2427 | 93 106 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons | 2641 | 2724 | 2738 | 3125 | 111 128 |
Won 2 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons?
- Our model makes Detroit Pistons slight favourites at 57%, with a projected score of CHA 107-109 DET.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- DET -2.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; DET is projected to win by about 2.
- Over or under?
- We project 216 total points including overtime. Over 216.5: 50%; under: 50%.
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.