Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 01:00 UK

Minnesota Timberwolves3-0 · 1 in the Western84%

PickMIN120-107

Milwaukee Bucks0-3 · 13 in the Eastern16%

Minnesota Timberwolves are favourites at 84% (Milwaukee Bucks 16%). Projected score MIN 120-107 MIL: MIN by about 13, 226 points in total. MIN -13.5: 48%. Over 226.5: 50%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Timberwolves rate 11.2 points per game better on our numbers (net +4.4 against −6.8), the biggest input in the prediction.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Minnesota Timberwolves 84% (fair odds 1.19)

Milwaukee Bucks 16% (fair odds 6.20)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 4%.

Handicap (MIN)

MIN -8.563%
MIN -13.548%
MIN -18.533%

Chance MIN wins by more than the line. Projected margin 13.

Total points

Over 216.571%
Over 221.561%
Over 226.550%
Over 231.539%
Over 236.529%

Projected 226, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Minnesota Timberwolves and Milwaukee Bucks, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
14 Jan2026	Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves	2038	2538	3330	2833	106 139
22 Dec2025	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks	2329	2531	2715	2825	103 100
09 Apr2025	Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves	2328	2228	2534	4013	110 103
13 Feb2025	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks	2436	2615	1919	3233	101 103
24 Feb2024	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks	2731	3020	1336	3725	107 112
09 Feb2024	Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves	2630	2733	2239	3027	105 129

Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 (50%)Milwaukee Bucks won 3 (50%)

Western Conference

Milwaukee Bucks play in the other conference: 0-3, 13 in the Eastern.

NBA standings with Minnesota Timberwolves and Milwaukee Bucks highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Minnesota Timberwolves	3	3	0	363	293	1.000
2	Portland Trail Blazers	2	2	0	252	203	1.000
3	Los Angeles Lakers	3	3	0	384	345	1.000
4	Memphis Grizzlies	3	3	0	357	323	1.000
5	Oklahoma City Thunder	3	3	0	320	289	1.000
6	Houston Rockets	3	3	0	363	334	1.000
7	Denver Nuggets	2	1	1	225	231	.500
8	Phoenix Suns	2	1	1	214	246	.500
9	LA Clippers	3	1	2	339	329	.333
10	San Antonio Spurs	3	1	2	336	336	.333
11	Dallas Mavericks	3	1	2	337	355	.333
12	Utah Jazz	3	1	2	346	374	.333
13	New Orleans Pelicans	3	0	3	374	384	.000
14	Golden State Warriors	3	0	3	335	369	.000
15	Sacramento Kings	3	0	3	328	372	.000

Full NBA standings

Minnesota Timberwolves: last 3 games this season

Minnesota Timberwolves's last 3 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors	3221	2326	3515	2732	117 94
24 Oct2026	Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves	2026	2531	1529	3329	93 115
22 Oct2026	Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves	3234	2735	2230	2532	106 131

Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Milwaukee Bucks: last 3 games this season

Milwaukee Bucks's last 3 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks	3425	3035	3327	3029	127 116
23 Oct2026	Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls	3217	3044	4241	2130	125 132
22 Oct2026	Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks	2523	2633	3937	3823	128 116

Won 0 (0%)Lost 3 (100%)

Minnesota Timberwolves at home

Minnesota Timberwolves's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors	3221	2326	3515	2732	117 94

Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Milwaukee Bucks on the road

Milwaukee Bucks's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks	3425	3035	3327	3029	127 116
22 Oct2026	Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks	2523	2633	3937	3823	128 116

Won 0 (0%)Lost 2 (100%)

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks?: Our model makes Minnesota Timberwolves favourites at 84%, with a projected score of MIN 120-107 MIL.
What is the handicap prediction?: MIN -13.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; MIN is projected to win by about 13.
Over or under?: We project 226 total points including overtime. Over 226.5: 50%; under: 50%.

More NBA games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.