ProbaPredict

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 00:00 UK

Cleveland Cavaliers1-1 · 9 in the Eastern36%
PickOKC109-114
Oklahoma City Thunder3-0 · 5 in the Western64%

Oklahoma City Thunder are slight favourites at 64% (Cleveland Cavaliers 36%). Projected score CLE 109-114 OKC: OKC by about 5, 223 points in total. OKC -5.5: 48%. Over 223.5: 50%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Cleveland Cavaliers 36% (fair odds 2.81)

Oklahoma City Thunder 64% (fair odds 1.55)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.

Handicap (OKC)

  • OKC -0.563%
  • OKC -5.548%
  • OKC -10.533%

Chance OKC wins by more than the line. Projected margin 5.

Total points

  • Over 213.571%
  • Over 218.561%
  • Over 223.550%
  • Over 228.539%
  • Over 233.529%

Projected 223, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder, points by quarter
DateTeamsFinal
22 Feb2026Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers121
113
19 Jan2026Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder104
136
17 Jan2025Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers134
114
09 Jan2025Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder129
122
09 Nov2023Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers128
120
28 Oct2023Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder105
108
Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 (17%)Oklahoma City Thunder won 5 (83%)

Eastern Conference

Oklahoma City Thunder play in the other conference: 3-0, 5 in the Western.

NBA standings with Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder highlighted
#TeamGPWLPFPAWin %
1Detroit Pistons3303553171.000
2Philadelphia 76ers431440428.750
3Charlotte Hornets431416444.750
4Atlanta Hawks321374327.667
5Toronto Raptors321341311.667
6Indiana Pacers321364350.667
7Washington Wizards422457458.500
8Boston Celtics211220224.500
9Cleveland Cavaliers211231235.500
10Orlando Magic312329349.333
11Chicago Bulls312344384.333
12New York Knicks303305324.000
13Milwaukee Bucks303357387.000
14Brooklyn Nets303333371.000
15Miami Heat303327374.000

Full NBA standings

Cleveland Cavaliers: last 2 games this season

Cleveland Cavaliers's last 2 games, points by quarter
DateTeamsFinal
25 Oct2026Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets125
121
23 Oct2026Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers114
106
Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)

Oklahoma City Thunder: last 3 games this season

Oklahoma City Thunder's last 3 games, points by quarter
DateTeamsFinal
25 Oct2026Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers108
101
23 Oct2026Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets96
84
21 Oct2026San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder104
116
Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Cleveland Cavaliers at home

Cleveland Cavaliers's games at home this season
DateTeamsFinal
25 Oct2026Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets125
121
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Oklahoma City Thunder on the road

Oklahoma City Thunder's games on the road this season
DateTeamsFinal
21 Oct2026San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder104
116
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Next games

Cleveland Cavaliers

Oklahoma City Thunder

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?
Our model makes Oklahoma City Thunder slight favourites at 64%, with a projected score of CLE 109-114 OKC.
What is the handicap prediction?
OKC -5.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; OKC is projected to win by about 5.
Over or under?
We project 223 total points including overtime. Over 223.5: 50%; under: 50%.

More NBA games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.