Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks prediction

NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 00:30 UK

Indiana Pacers2-1 · 6 in the Eastern31%

PickATL114-120

Atlanta Hawks2-1 · 4 in the Eastern69%

Atlanta Hawks are favourites at 69% (Indiana Pacers 31%). Projected score IND 114-120 ATL: ATL by about 6, 234 points in total. ATL -6.5: 50%. Over 234.5: 48%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Hawks rate 6.6 points per game better on our numbers (net +3.0 against −3.6), the biggest input in the prediction.
Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 11.9 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Indiana Pacers 31% (fair odds 3.24)

Atlanta Hawks 69% (fair odds 1.45)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.

Handicap (ATL)

ATL -1.565%
ATL -6.550%
ATL -11.535%

Chance ATL wins by more than the line. Projected margin 6.

Total points

Over 224.570%
Over 229.559%
Over 234.548%
Over 239.538%
Over 244.528%

Projected 234, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
01 Feb2026	Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks	3539	4534	2327	2624	129 124
26 Jan2026	Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers	3438	2626	3528	3724	132 116
31 Oct2025	Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks	2932	3031	1734	3231	108 128
09 Mar2025	Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers	3919	3033	2636	2530	120 118
07 Mar2025	Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers	2131	3532	3031	3824	124 118
01 Feb2025	Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks	4024	2840	3131	3332	132 127

Indiana Pacers won 2 (33%)Atlanta Hawks won 4 (67%)

Eastern Conference

NBA standings with Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Detroit Pistons	3	3	0	355	317	1.000
2	Philadelphia 76ers	4	3	1	440	428	.750
3	Charlotte Hornets	4	3	1	416	444	.750
4	Atlanta Hawks	3	2	1	374	327	.667
5	Toronto Raptors	3	2	1	341	311	.667
6	Indiana Pacers	3	2	1	364	350	.667
7	Washington Wizards	4	2	2	457	458	.500
8	Boston Celtics	2	1	1	220	224	.500
9	Cleveland Cavaliers	2	1	1	231	235	.500
10	Orlando Magic	3	1	2	329	349	.333
11	Chicago Bulls	3	1	2	344	384	.333
12	New York Knicks	3	0	3	305	324	.000
13	Milwaukee Bucks	3	0	3	357	387	.000
14	Brooklyn Nets	3	0	3	333	371	.000
15	Miami Heat	3	0	3	327	374	.000

Full NBA standings

Indiana Pacers: last 3 games this season

Indiana Pacers's last 3 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers	2624	3041	2437	2934	109 136
24 Oct2026	Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks	2744	1633	3321	2923	105 121
22 Oct2026	New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers	3138	3518	2630	2837	120 123

Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)

Atlanta Hawks: last 3 games this season

Atlanta Hawks's last 3 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets	2630	2229	3333	3329	114 121
24 Oct2026	Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks	2033	2335	1929	1931	81 128
22 Oct2026	Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks	3328	2944	3827	2533	125 132

Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)

Indiana Pacers at home

Indiana Pacers's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
24 Oct2026	Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks	2744	1633	3321	2923	105 121

Won 0 (0%)Lost 1 (100%)

Atlanta Hawks on the road

Atlanta Hawks's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
24 Oct2026	Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks	2033	2335	1929	1931	81 128
22 Oct2026	Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks	3328	2944	3827	2533	125 132

Won 2 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Next games

Indiana Pacers

05 Novat Memphis Grizzlies

Atlanta Hawks

05 Novat Washington Wizards

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?: Our model makes Atlanta Hawks favourites at 69%, with a projected score of IND 114-120 ATL.
What is the handicap prediction?: ATL -6.5 covers 50% of the time on our numbers; ATL is projected to win by about 6.
Over or under?: We project 234 total points including overtime. Over 234.5: 48%; under: 52%.

More NBA games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.