Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction
NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 02:00 UK
Denver Nuggets are slight favourites at 55% (Portland Trail Blazers 45%). Projected score DEN 114-112 POR: DEN by about 2, 226 points in total. DEN -2.5: 48%. Over 226.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
These two rate about the same on our numbers; home court, worth about 2 to 3 points, is what makes Denver Nuggets the pick.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Denver Nuggets 55% (fair odds 1.80)
Portland Trail Blazers 45% (fair odds 2.24)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (DEN)
- DEN -2.548%
- DEN -7.533%
Chance DEN wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.
Total points
- Over 216.569%
- Over 221.559%
- Over 226.548%
- Over 231.537%
- Over 236.527%
Projected 226, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr2026 | Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3135 | 2737 | 2929 | 3824 | 127 | 137 132 |
| 22 Mar2026 | Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers | 4240 | 3329 | 3224 | 2119 | 128 112 | |
| 21 Feb2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets | 2741 | 2641 | 3243 | 1832 | 103 157 | |
| 01 Nov2025 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets | 1826 | 3531 | 1824 | 3826 | 109 107 | |
| 22 Mar2025 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets | 3030 | 2429 | 3423 | 4027 | 128 109 | |
| 13 Feb2025 | Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers | 4027 | 3529 | 3235 | 2530 | 132 121 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Denver Nuggets: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2438 | 3335 | 3235 | 3718 | 159 | 141 135 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets | 2427 | 2021 | 2616 | 2620 | 96 84 |
Portland Trail Blazers: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns | 4312 | 2927 | 3527 | 1717 | 124 83 |
Denver Nuggets at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2438 | 3335 | 3235 | 3718 | 159 | 141 135 |
Portland Trail Blazers on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers?
- Our model makes Denver Nuggets slight favourites at 55%, with a projected score of DEN 114-112 POR.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- DEN -2.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; DEN is projected to win by about 2.
- Over or under?
- We project 226 total points including overtime. Over 226.5: 48%; under: 52%.
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.