Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 01:00 UK
PickNO118-120
New Orleans Pelicans are slight favourites at 57% (Memphis Grizzlies 43%). Projected score MEM 118-120 NO: NO by about 2, 238 points in total. NO -2.5: 49%. Over 238.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 14.5 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
- Pelicans rate 3.8 points per game better on our numbers (net −2.1 against −5.9), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Memphis Grizzlies 43% (fair odds 2.31)
New Orleans Pelicans 57% (fair odds 1.76)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (NO)
- NO -2.549%
- NO -7.534%
Chance NO wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.
Total points
- Over 228.570%
- Over 233.560%
- Over 238.549%
- Over 243.538%
- Over 248.528%
Projected 238, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan2026 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2832 | 3029 | 3515 | 2130 | 114 106 | |
| 24 Jan2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3030 | 3530 | 3633 | 2640 | 127 133 | |
| 27 Nov2025 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3925 | 2928 | 3239 | 2230 | 611 | 128 133 |
| 23 Oct2025 | Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2730 | 2937 | 4122 | 3133 | 128 122 | |
| 09 Mar2025 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2726 | 3731 | 1532 | 2518 | 104 107 | |
| 25 Jan2025 | Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3329 | 2942 | 4329 | 3426 | 139 126 |
Memphis Grizzlies won 4 (67%)New Orleans Pelicans won 2 (33%)
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Memphis Grizzlies: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3433 | 2227 | 3424 | 1827 | 108 111 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
New Orleans Pelicans: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2438 | 3335 | 3235 | 3718 | 159 | 141 135 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 | |
| 22 Oct2026 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers | 3138 | 3518 | 2630 | 2837 | 120 123 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 3 (100%)
Memphis Grizzlies at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
New Orleans Pelicans on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2438 | 3335 | 3235 | 3718 | 159 | 141 135 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 2 (100%)
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans?
- Our model makes New Orleans Pelicans slight favourites at 57%, with a projected score of MEM 118-120 NO.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- NO -2.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; NO is projected to win by about 2.
- Over or under?
- We project 238 total points including overtime. Over 238.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons
- Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks
- New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets
- Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards
- Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls
- Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks
- Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics
- San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz
- Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
- Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns
- LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors
- Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.