Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics prediction
NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 01:30 UK
Houston Rockets are slight favourites at 57% (Boston Celtics 43%). Projected score HOU 108-106 BOS: HOU by about 2, 214 points in total. HOU -2.5: 49%. Over 214.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Expect a lower-scoring game: between them these teams score and concede 8.1 points fewer than an average pairing.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Houston Rockets 57% (fair odds 1.76)
Boston Celtics 43% (fair odds 2.32)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (HOU)
- HOU -2.549%
- HOU -7.534%
Chance HOU wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.
Total points
- Over 204.570%
- Over 209.559%
- Over 214.549%
- Over 219.538%
- Over 224.528%
Projected 214, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb2026 | Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics | 1718 | 2531 | 2136 | 3029 | 93 114 |
| 02 Nov2025 | Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets | 2437 | 2429 | 2431 | 2931 | 101 128 |
| 28 Jan2025 | Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets | 2731 | 2523 | 3731 | 2329 | 112 114 |
| 04 Jan2025 | Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics | 3137 | 2528 | 1617 | 1427 | 86 109 |
| 22 Jan2024 | Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics | 2535 | 3035 | 2520 | 2726 | 107 116 |
| 14 Jan2024 | Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets | 3531 | 3427 | 4328 | 3327 | 145 113 |
Western Conference
Boston Celtics play in the other conference: 1-1, 8 in the Eastern.
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Houston Rockets: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets | 2630 | 2229 | 3333 | 3329 | 114 121 |
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks | 3226 | 3812 | 3038 | 2834 | 128 110 |
Boston Celtics: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks | 2627 | 2422 | 3324 | 2430 | 107 103 |
| 20 Oct2026 | Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics | 2728 | 1830 | 3730 | 3925 | 121 113 |
Houston Rockets at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks | 3226 | 3812 | 3038 | 2834 | 128 110 |
Boston Celtics on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct2026 | Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics | 2728 | 1830 | 3730 | 3925 | 121 113 |
Next games
Houston Rockets
Boston Celtics
- 05 Novvs Milwaukee Bucks
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?
- Our model makes Houston Rockets slight favourites at 57%, with a projected score of HOU 108-106 BOS.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- HOU -2.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; HOU is projected to win by about 2.
- Over or under?
- We project 214 total points including overtime. Over 214.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons
- Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks
- New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets
- Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards
- Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls
- Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings
- Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks
- San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz
- Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
- Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns
- LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors
- Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.