San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz prediction
NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 01:30 UK
San Antonio Spurs are favourites at 90% (Utah Jazz 10%). Projected score SA 125-109 UTAH: SA by about 16, 234 points in total. SA -16.5: 50%. Over 234.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Spurs rate 14.9 points per game better on our numbers (net +8.1 against −6.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 10.9 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
San Antonio Spurs 90% (fair odds 1.11)
Utah Jazz 10% (fair odds 9.83)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 3%.
Handicap (SA)
- SA -11.565%
- SA -16.550%
- SA -21.535%
Chance SA wins by more than the line. Projected margin 16.
Total points
- Over 224.569%
- Over 229.559%
- Over 234.548%
- Over 239.537%
- Over 244.527%
Projected 234, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan2026 | Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs | 3131 | 2234 | 3932 | 1729 | 109 126 |
| 19 Jan2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 3426 | 2731 | 3523 | 2730 | 123 110 |
| 28 Dec2025 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 4032 | 2038 | 2728 | 2729 | 114 127 |
| 27 Nov2024 | Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs | 3532 | 3134 | 2730 | 2232 | 115 128 |
| 22 Nov2024 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 1732 | 3435 | 3422 | 4129 | 126 118 |
| 09 Nov2024 | San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz | 2225 | 2328 | 3729 | 2829 | 110 111 |
San Antonio Spurs won 4 (67%)Utah Jazz won 2 (33%)
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
San Antonio Spurs: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs | 3132 | 2936 | 2924 | 1730 | 106 122 |
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
| 21 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 2834 | 1631 | 3628 | 2423 | 104 116 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
Utah Jazz: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4729 | 2445 | 2929 | 2329 | 123 132 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
San Antonio Spurs at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
| 21 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 2834 | 1631 | 3628 | 2423 | 104 116 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 2 (100%)
Utah Jazz on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 1 (100%)
Next games
San Antonio Spurs
- 05 Novvs Dallas Mavericks
Utah Jazz
- 05 Novat New Orleans Pelicans
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz?
- Our model makes San Antonio Spurs favourites at 90%, with a projected score of SA 125-109 UTAH.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- SA -16.5 covers 50% of the time on our numbers; SA is projected to win by about 16.
- Over or under?
- We project 234 total points including overtime. Over 234.5: 48%; under: 52%.
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.