Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings prediction
NBA · Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 01:00 UK
Dallas Mavericks are slight favourites at 65% (Sacramento Kings 35%). Projected score DAL 120-115 SAC: DAL by about 5, 235 points in total. DAL -5.5: 48%. Over 235.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 11.7 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
- Mavericks rate 3.4 points per game better on our numbers (net −3.8 against −7.2), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Dallas Mavericks 65% (fair odds 1.54)
Sacramento Kings 35% (fair odds 2.86)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (DAL)
- DAL -0.564%
- DAL -5.548%
- DAL -10.534%
Chance DAL wins by more than the line. Projected margin 5.
Total points
- Over 225.570%
- Over 230.560%
- Over 235.549%
- Over 240.538%
- Over 245.528%
Projected 235, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb2026 | Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings | 2842 | 2826 | 3232 | 3330 | 121 130 | |
| 07 Jan2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks | 3525 | 2321 | 2030 | 2024 | 98 100 | |
| 27 Dec2025 | Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks | 3123 | 2821 | 2933 | 2530 | 113 107 | |
| 17 Apr2025 | Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks | 2927 | 1944 | 3328 | 2521 | 106 120 | |
| 04 Mar2025 | Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings | 2427 | 2633 | 1634 | 3228 | 98 122 | |
| 11 Feb2025 | Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings | 3527 | 2634 | 3226 | 2329 | 1213 | 128 129 |
Dallas Mavericks won 2 (33%)Sacramento Kings won 4 (67%)
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Dallas Mavericks: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs | 3132 | 2936 | 2924 | 1730 | 106 122 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks | 2744 | 1633 | 3321 | 2923 | 105 121 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks | 3226 | 3812 | 3038 | 2834 | 128 110 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
Sacramento Kings: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings | 4129 | 2025 | 3216 | 2826 | 121 96 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 3 (100%)
Dallas Mavericks at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs | 3132 | 2936 | 2924 | 1730 | 106 122 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 1 (100%)
Sacramento Kings on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings | 4129 | 2025 | 3216 | 2826 | 121 96 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 1 (100%)
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings?
- Our model makes Dallas Mavericks slight favourites at 65%, with a projected score of DAL 120-115 SAC.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- DAL -5.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; DAL is projected to win by about 5.
- Over or under?
- We project 235 total points including overtime. Over 235.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons
- Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks
- New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets
- Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards
- Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls
- Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks
- Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics
- San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz
- Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
- Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns
- LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors
- Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.