San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
NBA · Sunday, 1 November 2026, 00:00 UK
San Antonio Spurs are favourites at 70% (Minnesota Timberwolves 30%). Projected score SA 114-107 MIN: SA by about 7, 222 points in total. SA -7.5: 48%. Over 222.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Spurs rate 3.7 points per game better on our numbers (net +8.1 against +4.4), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
San Antonio Spurs 70% (fair odds 1.43)
Minnesota Timberwolves 30% (fair odds 3.33)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.
Handicap (SA)
- SA -2.563%
- SA -7.548%
- SA -12.533%
Chance SA wins by more than the line. Projected margin 7.
Total points
- Over 212.569%
- Over 217.559%
- Over 222.548%
- Over 227.537%
- Over 232.527%
Projected 222, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs | 2736 | 3438 | 2336 | 2529 | 109 139 |
| 13 May2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 3430 | 2517 | 3226 | 3524 | 126 97 |
| 11 May2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs | 3430 | 2626 | 2028 | 3425 | 114 109 |
| 09 May2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs | 2223 | 2928 | 2835 | 2929 | 108 115 |
| 07 May2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2417 | 3518 | 3928 | 3532 | 133 95 |
| 05 May2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2324 | 2221 | 2724 | 3035 | 102 104 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
San Antonio Spurs: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs | 3132 | 2936 | 2924 | 1730 | 106 122 |
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
| 21 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 2834 | 1631 | 3628 | 2423 | 104 116 |
Minnesota Timberwolves: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors | 3221 | 2326 | 3515 | 2732 | 117 94 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2026 | 2531 | 1529 | 3329 | 93 115 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 3234 | 2735 | 2230 | 2532 | 106 131 |
San Antonio Spurs at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets | 2732 | 3229 | 2224 | 2929 | 110 114 |
| 21 Oct2026 | San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 2834 | 1631 | 3628 | 2423 | 104 116 |
Minnesota Timberwolves on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2026 | 2531 | 1529 | 3329 | 93 115 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 3234 | 2735 | 2230 | 2532 | 106 131 |
Next games
San Antonio Spurs
- 03 Novvs Utah JazzSA 90%
- 05 Novvs Dallas Mavericks
Minnesota Timberwolves
- 03 Novvs Milwaukee BucksMIN 84%
- 05 Novat Houston Rockets
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
- Our model makes San Antonio Spurs favourites at 70%, with a projected score of SA 114-107 MIN.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- SA -7.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; SA is projected to win by about 7.
- Over or under?
- We project 222 total points including overtime. Over 222.5: 48%; under: 52%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.