Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings prediction
NBA · Sunday, 1 November 2026, 00:00 UK
Memphis Grizzlies are slight favourites at 59% (Sacramento Kings 41%). Projected score MEM 119-116 SAC: MEM by about 3, 235 points in total. MEM -3.5: 48%. Over 235.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 11.6 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Memphis Grizzlies 59% (fair odds 1.70)
Sacramento Kings 41% (fair odds 2.42)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (MEM)
- MEM -3.548%
- MEM -8.533%
Chance MEM wins by more than the line. Projected margin 3.
Total points
- Over 225.570%
- Over 230.560%
- Over 235.549%
- Over 240.538%
- Over 245.528%
Projected 235, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Feb2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings | 2533 | 3630 | 2829 | 2531 | 114 123 |
| 05 Feb2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3128 | 2630 | 3431 | 3440 | 125 129 |
| 01 Dec2025 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3531 | 2431 | 2821 | 2032 | 107 115 |
| 21 Nov2025 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings | 3522 | 4025 | 3829 | 2420 | 137 96 |
| 18 Mar2025 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3726 | 2828 | 3332 | 3436 | 132 122 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Memphis Grizzlies: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3433 | 2227 | 3424 | 1827 | 108 111 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Sacramento Kings: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings | 4129 | 2025 | 3216 | 2826 | 121 96 |
Memphis Grizzlies at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Sacramento Kings on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings | 4129 | 2025 | 3216 | 2826 | 121 96 |
Next games
Memphis Grizzlies
- 03 Novvs New Orleans PelicansNO 57%
Sacramento Kings
- 03 Novat Dallas MavericksDAL 65%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings?
- Our model makes Memphis Grizzlies slight favourites at 59%, with a projected score of MEM 119-116 SAC.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- MEM -3.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; MEM is projected to win by about 3.
- Over or under?
- We project 235 total points including overtime. Over 235.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.