Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction
NBA · Sunday, 1 November 2026, 00:00 UK
Cleveland Cavaliers are favourites at 71% (Milwaukee Bucks 29%). Projected score MIL 111-118 CLE: CLE by about 7, 229 points in total. CLE -7.5: 49%. Over 229.5: 50%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Cavaliers rate 8.8 points per game better on our numbers (net +2.0 against −6.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 6.1 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Milwaukee Bucks 29% (fair odds 3.44)
Cleveland Cavaliers 71% (fair odds 1.41)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.
Handicap (CLE)
- CLE -2.564%
- CLE -7.549%
- CLE -12.534%
Chance CLE wins by more than the line. Projected margin 7.
Total points
- Over 219.571%
- Over 224.561%
- Over 229.550%
- Over 234.539%
- Over 239.529%
Projected 229, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar2026 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 2437 | 3420 | 2928 | 2938 | 116 123 |
| 26 Feb2026 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 3333 | 2930 | 3131 | 2522 | 118 116 |
| 18 Nov2025 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2633 | 3324 | 3331 | 2618 | 118 106 |
| 26 Oct2025 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2931 | 3625 | 2128 | 3229 | 118 113 |
| 10 Mar2025 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 3234 | 2028 | 2522 | 2328 | 100 112 |
| 21 Dec2024 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2920 | 4031 | 3425 | 2125 | 124 101 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Charlotte Hornets | 4 | 3 | 1 | 416 | 444 | .750 |
| 4 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 6 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 7 | Washington Wizards | 4 | 2 | 2 | 457 | 458 | .500 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Milwaukee Bucks: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks | 3425 | 3035 | 3327 | 3029 | 127 116 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls | 3217 | 3044 | 4241 | 2130 | 125 132 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2523 | 2633 | 3937 | 3823 | 128 116 |
Cleveland Cavaliers: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets | 3530 | 3324 | 2826 | 2941 | 125 121 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 1835 | 2734 | 3721 | 3216 | 114 106 |
Milwaukee Bucks at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct2026 | Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls | 3217 | 3044 | 4241 | 2130 | 125 132 |
Cleveland Cavaliers on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 1835 | 2734 | 3721 | 3216 | 114 106 |
Next games
Milwaukee Bucks
- 03 Novat Minnesota TimberwolvesMIN 84%
- 05 Novat Boston Celtics
Cleveland Cavaliers
- 03 Novvs Oklahoma City ThunderOKC 64%
- 05 Novat Oklahoma City Thunder
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers?
- Our model makes Cleveland Cavaliers favourites at 71%, with a projected score of MIL 111-118 CLE.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- CLE -7.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; CLE is projected to win by about 7.
- Over or under?
- We project 229 total points including overtime. Over 229.5: 50%; under: 50%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.