Ode' Osbourne vs Cody Durden prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Flyweight
Cody Durden is the slight favourite at 51%. The likeliest single outcome is Cody Durden by decision (29%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 46%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Durden wrestles more, averaging 3.6 takedowns per 15 minutes to 1.0.
- Osbourne has a 15 cm reach advantage (185 cm vs 170 cm).
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Ode' Osbourne: 49% to win
- KO/TKO16% overall
- Submission15% overall
- Decision17% overall
Cody Durden: 51% to win
- KO/TKO9% overall
- Submission14% overall
- Decision29% overall
Goes the distance: 46% · Fair odds: Ode' Osbourne 2.05, Cody Durden 1.95. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
Ode' Osbourne | Tale of the tape |  Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| 13-10-0 | Record | 18-11-1 |
| Jamaica | Nationality | USA |
| 14 | UFC fights | 17 |
| 34 | Age | 35 |
| 170 cm | Height | 170 cm |
| 185 cm | Reach | 170 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Southpaw |
| 3 / 1 / 2 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| 2 / 3 / 2 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 2 / 5 / 2 |
| 3.0 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 3.3 |
| 3.3 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 3.9 |
| 1.0 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 3.6 |
| 0.51 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.11 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Ode' Osbourne: last UFC fights
- 2026-02-21vs Alibi Idiris
R3 5:00L - 2025-08-09vs Steve Erceg
R3 5:00L DEC - 2025-04-06vs Luis Gurule R2 1:54W KO/TKO
- 2024-09-15vs Ronaldo Rodríguez
R3 5:00L DEC - 2024-03-16vs Jafel Filho
R1 4:27L SUB
Cody Durden: last UFC fights
- 2026-07-11vs Alessandro Costa R2 2:19L SUB
- 2026-04-25vs Jafel Filho R3 5:00W DEC
- 2026-03-08vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
R3 5:00L DEC - 2025-11-01vs Allan Nascimento R2 3:13L SUB
- 2025-06-14vs Jose Ochoa
R2 0:11L KO/TKO
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Ode' Osbourne vs Cody Durden?
- Our model makes Cody Durden the slight favourite at 51%, with Ode' Osbourne at 49%.
- How will Ode' Osbourne vs Cody Durden end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 46%. If Cody Durden wins, the likeliest route is decision (56% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Ode' Osbourne 2.05, Cody Durden 1.95: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
More from UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
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- Yana Santos vs Luana Santos
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- Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall
- Andre Petroski vs Azamat Bekoev
- Theodor Berggren vs Rodrigo Sezinando
- Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee
- Joe Kropschot vs Nick Klein
- Piera Rodriguez vs Talita Alencar
- Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabová
- Mickey Gall vs Zach Reese
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.