Joe Kropschot vs Nick Klein prediction

What the numbers show

• Kropschot lands more: 5.8 significant strikes a minute to 3.0.
• Klein wrestles more, averaging 3.7 takedowns per 15 minutes to 1.2.
• Kropschot's rating, built from every UFC result, is 52 points higher. This is the biggest single input in the model.
• Klein has not fought in the UFC since August 2025.

The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.

Who wins, and how?

Goes the distance: 38% · Fair odds: Joe Kropschot 1.58, Nick Klein 2.73. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape

Joe Kropschot	Tale of the tape	Nick Klein
9-3-0	Record	6-3-0
USA	Nationality	USA
1	UFC fights	3
31	Age	31
191 cm	Height	185 cm
201 cm	Reach	196 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
0 / 0 / 1	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 1 / 0
0 / 0 / 0	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	2 / 0 / 0
5.8	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.0
3.8	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.5
1.2	Takedowns per 15 minutes	3.7
0.16	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.15

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Joe Kropschot vs Nick Klein?

Our model makes Joe Kropschot the favourite at 63%, with Nick Klein at 37%.

How will Joe Kropschot vs Nick Klein end?

The chance it goes the distance is 38%. If Joe Kropschot wins, the likeliest route is ko/tko (50% of their wins).

What are the fair odds?

Joe Kropschot 1.58, Nick Klein 2.73: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.