Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov prediction

What the numbers show

• Hasanov wrestles more, averaging 9.2 takedowns per 15 minutes to 2.4.
• Hasanov is harder to hit, absorbing 2.3 significant strikes a minute to 3.9.
• Lebosnoyani lands more: 4.0 significant strikes a minute to 2.5.
• Lebosnoyani's rating, built from every UFC result, is 52 points higher. This is the biggest single input in the model.

The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.

Who wins, and how?

Goes the distance: 60% · Fair odds: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 2.25, Farman Hasanov 1.80. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	Tale of the tape	Farman Hasanov
11-2-0	Record	6-0-0
USA	Nationality	Azerbaijan
3	UFC fights	1
27	Age	31
180 cm	Height	183 cm
183 cm	Reach	189 cm
Switch	Stance	Orthodox
1 / 0 / 2	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 0 / 1
0 / 0 / 0	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 0 / 0
4.0	Sig. strikes landed per minute	2.5
3.9	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	2.3
2.4	Takedowns per 15 minutes	9.2
0.43	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.16

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov?

Our model makes Farman Hasanov the slight favourite at 56%, with Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at 44%.

How will Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov end?

The chance it goes the distance is 60%. If Farman Hasanov wins, the likeliest route is decision (65% of their wins).

What are the fair odds?

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 2.25, Farman Hasanov 1.80: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.