Andre Petroski vs Azamat Bekoev prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Middleweight
Andre Petroski is the slight favourite at 56%. The likeliest single outcome is Azamat Bekoev by KO/TKO (26%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 35%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Petroski is harder to hit, absorbing 3.1 significant strikes a minute to 5.8.
- Petroski is far more experienced in the UFC: 14 fights to 4.
- Bekoev lands more: 4.2 significant strikes a minute to 2.8.
- Bekoev is the younger fighter: 30 against 35 on fight night.
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Andre Petroski: 56% to win
- KO/TKO16% overall
- Submission18% overall
- Decision23% overall
Azamat Bekoev: 44% to win
- KO/TKO26% overall
- Submission5% overall
- Decision12% overall
Goes the distance: 35% · Fair odds: Andre Petroski 1.77, Azamat Bekoev 2.29. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
Andre Petroski | Tale of the tape |  Azamat Bekoev |
|---|---|---|
| 13-7-0 | Record | 20-5-0 |
| USA | Nationality | Russia |
| 14 | UFC fights | 4 |
| 35 | Age | 30 |
| 183 cm | Height | 183 cm |
| 185 cm | Reach | 183 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 2 / 0 / 0 |
| 4 / 1 / 1 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 1 / 1 / 0 |
| 2.8 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 4.2 |
| 3.1 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 5.8 |
| 3.0 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 2.8 |
| 0.13 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 1.10 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Andre Petroski: last UFC fights
- 2026-05-16vs Cody Brundage R2 0:44L KO/TKO
- 2025-09-27vs Cam Rowston
R1 2:41L KO/TKO - 2025-06-15vs Edmen Shahbazyan R3 5:00L DEC
- 2025-02-16vs Rodolfo Vieira
R3 5:00W DEC - 2024-09-07vs Dylan Budka R3 5:00W DEC
Azamat Bekoev: last UFC fights
- 2026-04-04vs Tresean Gore R3 3:27L SUB
- 2025-10-18vs Yousri Belgaroui
R3 0:55L KO/TKO - 2025-05-03vs Ryan Loder R1 2:44W KO/TKO
- 2025-01-19vs Zach Reese R1 3:04W KO/TKO
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Andre Petroski vs Azamat Bekoev?
- Our model makes Andre Petroski the slight favourite at 56%, with Azamat Bekoev at 44%.
- How will Andre Petroski vs Azamat Bekoev end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 35%. If Andre Petroski wins, the likeliest route is decision (40% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Andre Petroski 1.77, Azamat Bekoev 2.29: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
More from UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
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- Ode' Osbourne vs Cody Durden
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- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov
- Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall
- Theodor Berggren vs Rodrigo Sezinando
- Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee
- Joe Kropschot vs Nick Klein
- Piera Rodriguez vs Talita Alencar
- Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabová
- Mickey Gall vs Zach Reese
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.