Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney prediction

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Sunday, 15 November 2026 · Lightweight

USA · 39-19-0UFC wins: 6 KO, 14 SUB, 8 DEC32%

PickMcKinneyDEC

USA · 18-9-0UFC wins: 5 KO, 3 SUB, 0 DEC68%

Terrance McKinney is the favourite at 68%. The likeliest single outcome is Terrance McKinney by decision (33%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 39%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Miller is far more experienced in the UFC: 47 fights to 15.
McKinney lands more: 6.0 significant strikes a minute to 2.9.
McKinney is the younger fighter: 32 against 43 on fight night.
Miller's rating, built from every UFC result, is 83 points higher. This is the biggest single input in the model.

The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.

Who wins, and how?

Jim Miller: 32% to win

KO/TKO11% overall
Submission15% overall
Decision6% overall

Terrance McKinney: 68% to win

KO/TKO23% overall
Submission13% overall
Decision33% overall

Goes the distance: 39% · Fair odds: Jim Miller 3.17, Terrance McKinney 1.46. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Jim Miller	Tale of the tape	Terrance McKinney
39-19-0	Record	18-9-0
USA	Nationality	USA
47	UFC fights	15
43	Age	32
173 cm	Height	178 cm
180 cm	Reach	187 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Switch
6 / 14 / 8	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	5 / 3 / 0
2 / 3 / 13	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	5 / 2 / 0
2.9	Sig. strikes landed per minute	6.0
3.4	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.9
1.5	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.8
0.20	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.88

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Jim Miller: last UFC fights

2026-05-09vs Jared Gordon R1 3:29W SUB
2025-04-13vs Chase Hooper R3 5:00L DEC
2024-11-17vs Damon Jackson R1 2:44W SUB
2024-04-13vs King Green R3 5:00L DEC
2024-01-14vs Gabriel Benitez R3 3:25W SUB

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Terrance McKinney: last UFC fights

2026-07-12vs King Green R1 4:59L KO/TKO
2026-03-29vs Kyle Nelson R1 0:24W KO/TKO
2025-12-07vs Chris Duncan R1 2:30L SUB
2025-06-29vs Viacheslav Borshchev R1 0:55W SUB
2025-02-01vs Damir Hadzovic R1 2:01W KO/TKO

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney?: Our model makes Terrance McKinney the favourite at 68%, with Jim Miller at 32%.
How will Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney end?: The chance it goes the distance is 39%. If Terrance McKinney wins, the likeliest route is decision (48% of their wins).
What are the fair odds?: Jim Miller 3.17, Terrance McKinney 1.46: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.

More from UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.