Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison prediction
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Sunday, 15 November 2026 · W Bantamweight · 5 rounds
Amanda Nunes is the slight favourite at 56%. The likeliest single outcome is Amanda Nunes by decision (27%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 40%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Nunes has not fought in the UFC since June 2023.
- Nunes is far more experienced in the UFC: 18 fights to 3.
- Nunes's rating, built from every UFC result, is 79 points higher. This is the biggest single input in the model.
- Harrison has not fought in the UFC since June 2025.
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Amanda Nunes: 56% to win
- KO/TKO20% overall
- Submission10% overall
- Decision27% overall
Kayla Harrison: 44% to win
- KO/TKO10% overall
- Submission20% overall
- Decision14% overall
Goes the distance: 40% · Fair odds: Amanda Nunes 1.79, Kayla Harrison 2.27. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
| Amanda Nunes | Tale of the tape |  Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| 23-5-0 | Record | 19-1-0 |
| – | Nationality | USA |
| 18 | UFC fights | 3 |
| 38 | Age | 36 |
| 173 cm | Height | 173 cm |
| 175 cm | Reach | 168 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 7 / 3 / 6 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 2 / 1 |
| 1 / 1 / 0 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 4.5 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 4.1 |
| 2.5 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 1.9 |
| 2.7 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 2.4 |
| 0.57 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.10 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Amanda Nunes: last UFC fights
- 2023-06-11vs Irene Aldana R5 5:00W DEC
- 2022-07-31vs Julianna Peña R5 5:00W DEC
- 2021-12-12vs Julianna Peña R2 3:26L SUB
- 2021-03-07vs Megan Anderson R1 2:03W SUB
- 2020-06-07vs Felicia Spencer R5 5:00W DEC
Kayla Harrison: last UFC fights
- 2025-06-08vs Julianna Peña R2 4:55W SUB
- 2024-10-06vs Ketlen Vieira
R3 5:00W DEC - 2024-04-14vs Holly Holm R2 1:47W SUB
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison?
- Our model makes Amanda Nunes the slight favourite at 56%, with Kayla Harrison at 44%.
- How will Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 40%. If Amanda Nunes wins, the likeliest route is decision (47% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Amanda Nunes 1.79, Kayla Harrison 2.27: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
More from UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
- Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane
- Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui
- Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić
- Luis Gurule vs Bilal Hasan
- Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke
- Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan
- Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney
- Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita
- Adrian Yañez vs Juan Diaz
- Cesar Almeida vs Donte Johnson
- Nazim Sadykhov vs Jefferson Nascimento
- Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.