Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane prediction
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Sunday, 15 November 2026 · Heavyweight · 5 rounds · main event
Josh Hokit is the slight favourite at 51%. The likeliest single outcome is Josh Hokit by KO/TKO (33%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 26%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Gane is harder to hit, absorbing 2.4 significant strikes a minute to 4.8.
- Gane has a 19 cm reach advantage (187 cm vs 206 cm).
- Hokit lands more: 7.6 significant strikes a minute to 5.3.
- Hokit wrestles more, averaging 3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes to 0.7.
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Josh Hokit: 51% to win
- KO/TKO33% overall
- Submission4% overall
- Decision15% overall
Ciryl Gane: 49% to win
- KO/TKO32% overall
- Submission6% overall
- Decision12% overall
Goes the distance: 26% · Fair odds: Josh Hokit 1.95, Ciryl Gane 2.06. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
Josh Hokit | Tale of the tape |  Ciryl Gane |
|---|---|---|
| 10-0-0 | Record | 14-2-0 |
| USA | Nationality | France |
| 5 | UFC fights | 14 |
| 29 | Age | 36 |
| 185 cm | Height | 193 cm |
| 187 cm | Reach | 206 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 4 / 0 / 1 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 5 / 2 / 4 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 1 / 1 |
| 7.6 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 5.3 |
| 4.8 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 2.4 |
| 3.1 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 0.7 |
| 0.97 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.33 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Josh Hokit: last UFC fights
- 2026-06-15vs Derrick Lewis R2 4:09W KO/TKO
- 2026-04-12vs Curtis Blaydes R3 5:00W DEC
- 2026-01-24vs Denzel Freeman R1 4:59W KO/TKO
- 2025-11-08vs Max Gimenis
R1 0:56W KO/TKO - 2025-08-20vs Guilherme Uriel R2 1:06W KO/TKO
Ciryl Gane: last UFC fights
- 2026-06-15vs Alex Pereira R2 1:27W KO/TKO
- 2025-10-25vs Tom Aspinall
R1 4:35NC - 2024-12-08vs Alexander Volkov
R3 5:00W DEC - 2023-09-02vs Serghei Spivac
R2 3:44W KO/TKO - 2023-03-05vs Jon Jones R1 2:04L SUB
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane?
- Our model makes Josh Hokit the slight favourite at 51%, with Ciryl Gane at 49%.
- How will Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 26%. If Josh Hokit wins, the likeliest route is ko/tko (64% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Josh Hokit 1.95, Ciryl Gane 2.06: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
More from UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
- Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison
- Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui
- Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić
- Luis Gurule vs Bilal Hasan
- Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke
- Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan
- Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney
- Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita
- Adrian Yañez vs Juan Diaz
- Cesar Almeida vs Donte Johnson
- Nazim Sadykhov vs Jefferson Nascimento
- Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.