Luis Gurule vs Bilal Hasan prediction
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Sunday, 15 November 2026 · Flyweight
Bilal Hasan is the favourite at 82%. The likeliest single outcome is Bilal Hasan by KO/TKO (39%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 47%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Hasan's rating, built from every UFC result, is 106 points higher. This is the biggest single input in the model.
- Hasan has a 15 cm reach advantage (163 cm vs 178 cm).
- Hasan is the younger fighter: 25 against 32 on fight night.
- Hasan is harder to hit, absorbing 3.9 significant strikes a minute to 5.0.
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Luis Gurule: 18% to win
- KO/TKO4% overall
- Submission2% overall
- Decision11% overall
Bilal Hasan: 82% to win
- KO/TKO39% overall
- Submission7% overall
- Decision36% overall
Goes the distance: 47% · Fair odds: Luis Gurule 5.63, Bilal Hasan 1.22. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
Luis Gurule | Tale of the tape |  Bilal Hasan |
|---|---|---|
| 11-4-0 | Record | 10-0-0 |
| USA | Nationality | Indonesia |
| 6 | UFC fights | 2 |
| 32 | Age | 25 |
| 165 cm | Height | 170 cm |
| 163 cm | Reach | 178 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 0 / 0 / 2 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 2 / 0 / 0 |
| 1 / 1 / 2 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 5.1 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 5.5 |
| 5.0 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 3.9 |
| 0.8 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 1.6 |
| 0.06 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 1.49 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Luis Gurule: last UFC fights
- 2026-05-30vs Rei Tsuruya
R1 3:19L SUB - 2026-05-16vs Daniel Barez
R3 5:00W DEC - 2026-02-21vs Alden Coria R3 5:00L DEC
- 2025-09-13vs Jesus Aguilar
R3 5:00L DEC - 2025-04-06vs Ode' Osbourne
R2 1:54L KO/TKO
Bilal Hasan: last UFC fights
- 2026-08-29vs Nilson Rojas
R2 2:28W KO/TKO - 2026-08-11vs Mridul Saikia
R1 0:45W KO/TKO
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Luis Gurule vs Bilal Hasan?
- Our model makes Bilal Hasan the favourite at 82%, with Luis Gurule at 18%.
- How will Luis Gurule vs Bilal Hasan end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 47%. If Bilal Hasan wins, the likeliest route is ko/tko (48% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Luis Gurule 5.63, Bilal Hasan 1.22: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
More from UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
- Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane
- Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison
- Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui
- Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić
- Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke
- Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan
- Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney
- Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita
- Adrian Yañez vs Juan Diaz
- Cesar Almeida vs Donte Johnson
- Nazim Sadykhov vs Jefferson Nascimento
- Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.