Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney prediction

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Sunday, 29 March 2026 · Lightweight

Kyle Nelson

Canada · 17-8-1UFC wins: 2 KO, 0 SUB, 3 DEC

Terrance McKinney

USA · 18-9-0UFC wins: 5 KO, 3 SUB, 0 DEC

Result: Terrance McKinney by KO/TKO, R1 0:24.

Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Kyle Nelson	Tale of the tape	Terrance McKinney
17-8-1	Record	18-9-0
Canada	Nationality	USA
13	UFC fights	15
34	Age	31
180 cm	Height	178 cm
180 cm	Reach	187 cm
Switch	Stance	Switch
2 / 0 / 3	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	5 / 3 / 0
5 / 1 / 1	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	5 / 2 / 0
3.6	Sig. strikes landed per minute	6.0
4.5	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.9
1.2	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.8
0.15	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.88

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Kyle Nelson: last UFC fights

2025-10-18vs Matt Frevola R3 5:00W DEC
2024-09-07vs Steve Garcia R1 3:59L KO/TKO
2024-03-31vs Bill Algeo R1 4:00W KO/TKO
2023-09-17vs Fernando Padilla R3 5:00W DEC
2023-06-11vs Blake Bilder R3 5:00W DEC

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

Terrance McKinney: last UFC fights

2025-12-07vs Chris Duncan R1 2:30L SUB
2025-06-29vs Viacheslav Borshchev R1 0:55W SUB
2025-02-01vs Damir Hadzovic R1 2:01W KO/TKO
2024-05-11vs Esteban Ribovics R1 0:37L KO/TKO
2023-10-14vs Brendon Marotte R1 0:20W KO/TKO

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.