Matt Frevola vs Kyle Nelson prediction

UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Sunday, 19 October 2025 · Lightweight · main event

Matt Frevola

USA · 11-6-1UFC wins: 3 KO, 1 SUB, 2 DEC

Kyle Nelson

Canada · 17-8-1UFC wins: 2 KO, 0 SUB, 3 DEC

Result: Kyle Nelson by U Dec, R3 5:00.

Matt Frevola vs Kyle Nelson: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Matt Frevola	Tale of the tape	Kyle Nelson
11-6-1	Record	17-8-1
USA	Nationality	Canada
13	UFC fights	13
35	Age	34
175 cm	Height	180 cm
180 cm	Reach	180 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Switch
3 / 1 / 2	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	2 / 0 / 3
4 / 0 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	5 / 1 / 1
3.3	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.6
3.7	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.5
2.2	Takedowns per 15 minutes	1.2
0.88	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.15

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Matt Frevola: last UFC fights

2024-09-28vs Farés Ziam R3 2:59L KO/TKO
2023-11-12vs Benoît Saint Denis R1 1:31L KO/TKO
2023-05-07vs Drew Dober R1 4:08W KO/TKO
2022-11-12vs Ottman Azaitar R1 2:30W KO/TKO
2022-01-23vs Genaro Valdez R1 3:15W KO/TKO

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Kyle Nelson: last UFC fights

2024-09-07vs Steve Garcia R1 3:59L KO/TKO
2024-03-31vs Bill Algeo R1 4:00W KO/TKO
2023-09-17vs Fernando Padilla R3 5:00W DEC
2023-06-11vs Blake Bilder R3 5:00W DEC
2023-02-05vs Dooho Choi R3 5:00NC

Won 3 (75%)Lost 1 (25%)

More from UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.