Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko prediction

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Welterweight

Wellington Turman18-8-0UFC wins: 0 KO, 1 SUB, 2 DEC25%

PickKoDEC

South Korea · 13-3-0UFC wins: 0 KO, 0 SUB, 3 DEC75%

Seokhyeon Ko is the favourite at 75%. The likeliest single outcome is Seokhyeon Ko by decision (49%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 64%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Turman has not fought in the UFC since December 2023.
Ko's rating, built from every UFC result, is 98 points higher. This is the biggest single input in the model.
Ko is harder to hit, absorbing 2.3 significant strikes a minute to 4.1.
Ko wrestles more, averaging 2.7 takedowns per 15 minutes to 1.5.

The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.

Who wins, and how?

Wellington Turman: 25% to win

KO/TKO6% overall
Submission5% overall
Decision15% overall

Seokhyeon Ko: 75% to win

KO/TKO18% overall
Submission8% overall
Decision49% overall

Goes the distance: 64% · Fair odds: Wellington Turman 3.95, Seokhyeon Ko 1.34. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Wellington Turman	Tale of the tape	Seokhyeon Ko
18-8-0	Record	13-3-0
–	Nationality	South Korea
9	UFC fights	4
30	Age	33
183 cm	Height	178 cm
183 cm	Reach	180 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Southpaw
0 / 1 / 2	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 0 / 3
2 / 1 / 3	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 0 / 1
3.3	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.2
4.1	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	2.3
1.5	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.7
0.04	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.06

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Wellington Turman: last UFC fights

2023-12-02vs Jared Gooden R2 1:11L SUB
2023-06-24vs Randy Brown R3 5:00L DEC
2022-11-13vs Andre Petroski R3 5:00L DEC
2022-02-27vs Misha Cirkunov R2 1:29W SUB
2021-08-28vs Sam Alvey R3 5:00W DEC

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Seokhyeon Ko: last UFC fights

2026-07-18vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani R3 5:00L DEC
2025-11-01vs Phil Rowe R3 5:00W DEC
2025-06-21vs Oban Elliott R3 5:00W DEC
2024-09-04vs Igor Cavalcanti R3 5:00W DEC

Won 3 (75%)Lost 1 (25%)

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko?: Our model makes Seokhyeon Ko the favourite at 75%, with Wellington Turman at 25%.
How will Wellington Turman vs Seokhyeon Ko end?: The chance it goes the distance is 64%. If Seokhyeon Ko wins, the likeliest route is decision (66% of their wins).
What are the fair odds?: Wellington Turman 3.95, Seokhyeon Ko 1.34: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.

More from UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.