Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov prediction
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Featherweight
Murtazali Magomedov is the slight favourite at 50%. The likeliest single outcome is Jose Delano by decision (30%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 52%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Delano lands more: 6.8 significant strikes a minute to 3.8.
- Magomedov wrestles more, averaging 2.1 takedowns per 15 minutes to 0.5.
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Jose Delano: 50% to win
- KO/TKO16% overall
- Submission4% overall
- Decision30% overall
Murtazali Magomedov: 50% to win
- KO/TKO18% overall
- Submission10% overall
- Decision22% overall
Goes the distance: 52% · Fair odds: Jose Delano 2.00, Murtazali Magomedov 2.00. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
Jose Delano | Tale of the tape |  Murtazali Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| 17-3-0 | Record | 11-0-0 |
| Brazil | Nationality | Kyrgyzstan |
| 2 | UFC fights | 2 |
| 30 | Age | 27 |
| 173 cm | Height | 175 cm |
| 178 cm | Reach | 179 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 0 / 0 / 2 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 1 / 1 / 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 6.8 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 3.8 |
| 3.5 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 3.3 |
| 0.5 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 2.1 |
| 0.10 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 1.10 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Jose Delano: last UFC fights
- 2026-04-05vs Robert Ruchała
R3 5:00W DEC - 2025-08-20vs Manuel Exposito
R3 5:00W DEC
Murtazali Magomedov: last UFC fights
- 2026-06-21vs Melsik Baghdasaryan
R1 1:17W SUB - 2025-09-24vs Brahyam Zurcher
R1 1:37W KO/TKO
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov?
- Our model makes Murtazali Magomedov the slight favourite at 50%, with Jose Delano at 50%.
- How will Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 52%. If Murtazali Magomedov wins, the likeliest route is decision (44% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Jose Delano 2.00, Murtazali Magomedov 2.00: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
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Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.