Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
NBA · Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 01:00 UK
Utah Jazz are slight favourites at 52% (Memphis Grizzlies 48%). Projected score UTAH 120-119 MEM: UTAH by about 1, 238 points in total. UTAH -1.5: 48%. Over 238.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 17.6 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
- Jazz played last night: the second night of a back-to-back costs an NBA team about 1.5 points on average.
- Grizzlies played last night: the second night of a back-to-back costs an NBA team about 1.5 points on average.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Utah Jazz 52% (fair odds 1.91)
Memphis Grizzlies 48% (fair odds 2.10)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (UTAH)
- UTAH -1.548%
- UTAH -6.533%
Chance UTAH wins by more than the line. Projected margin 1.
Total points
- Over 228.571%
- Over 233.560%
- Over 238.549%
- Over 243.539%
- Over 248.529%
Projected 238, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
| 11 Apr2026 | Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3330 | 4122 | 3622 | 3727 | 147 101 |
| 21 Feb2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2832 | 2735 | 3221 | 3626 | 123 114 |
| 24 Dec2025 | Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3137 | 3632 | 3440 | 2728 | 128 137 |
| 13 Dec2025 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 3136 | 3325 | 3342 | 2927 | 126 130 |
| 26 Mar2025 | Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3529 | 3035 | 1741 | 2135 | 103 140 |
Utah Jazz won 2 (33%)Memphis Grizzlies won 4 (67%)
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Utah Jazz: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4729 | 2445 | 2929 | 2329 | 123 132 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
Memphis Grizzlies: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3433 | 2227 | 3424 | 1827 | 108 111 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Utah Jazz at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4729 | 2445 | 2929 | 2329 | 123 132 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 |
Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)
Memphis Grizzlies on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3433 | 2227 | 3424 | 1827 | 108 111 |
Won 2 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Next games
Utah Jazz
- 29 Octvs San Antonio SpursSA 82%
- 31 Octvs Portland Trail BlazersPOR 73%
- 03 Novat San Antonio SpursSA 90%
Memphis Grizzlies
- 30 Octat Portland Trail BlazersPOR 79%
- 01 Novvs Sacramento KingsMEM 59%
- 03 Novvs New Orleans PelicansNO 57%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies?
- Our model makes Utah Jazz slight favourites at 52%, with a projected score of UTAH 120-119 MEM.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- UTAH -1.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; UTAH is projected to win by about 1.
- Over or under?
- We project 238 total points including overtime. Over 238.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.