Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
NBA · Monday, 26 October 2026, 23:00 UK
Cleveland Cavaliers are slight favourites at 52% (Minnesota Timberwolves 48%). Projected score CLE 113-112 MIN: CLE by about 1, 225 points in total. CLE -1.5: 47%. Over 225.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Timberwolves played last night: the second night of a back-to-back costs an NBA team about 1.5 points on average.
- Timberwolves rate 2.4 points per game better on our numbers (net +4.4 against +2.0), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Cleveland Cavaliers 52% (fair odds 1.92)
Minnesota Timberwolves 48% (fair odds 2.09)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (CLE)
- CLE -1.547%
- CLE -6.533%
Chance CLE wins by more than the line. Projected margin 1.
Total points
- Over 215.569%
- Over 220.559%
- Over 225.548%
- Over 230.537%
- Over 235.527%
Projected 225, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2933 | 3432 | 3626 | 4743 | 146 134 | |
| 09 Jan2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 3231 | 3136 | 4322 | 2533 | 131 122 | |
| 11 Feb2025 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 3012 | 3632 | 3834 | 2429 | 128 107 | |
| 19 Jan2025 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 3229 | 2831 | 1929 | 3835 | 117 124 | |
| 23 Mar2024 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 2520 | 2129 | 2617 | 3225 | 104 91 | |
| 09 Mar2024 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2523 | 2927 | 2530 | 1817 | 167 | 113 104 |
Eastern Conference
Minnesota Timberwolves play in the other conference: 3-0, 1 in the Western.
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Charlotte Hornets | 4 | 3 | 1 | 416 | 444 | .750 |
| 4 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 6 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 7 | Washington Wizards | 4 | 2 | 2 | 457 | 458 | .500 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Cleveland Cavaliers: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets | 3530 | 3324 | 2826 | 2941 | 125 121 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 1835 | 2734 | 3721 | 3216 | 114 106 |
Minnesota Timberwolves: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors | 3221 | 2326 | 3515 | 2732 | 117 94 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2026 | 2531 | 1529 | 3329 | 93 115 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 3234 | 2735 | 2230 | 2532 | 106 131 |
Cleveland Cavaliers at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets | 3530 | 3324 | 2826 | 2941 | 125 121 |
Minnesota Timberwolves on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 2026 | 2531 | 1529 | 3329 | 93 115 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 3234 | 2735 | 2230 | 2532 | 106 131 |
Next games
Cleveland Cavaliers
- 28 Octvs Washington WizardsCLE 81%
- 30 Octat Atlanta HawksATL 58%
- 01 Novat Milwaukee BucksCLE 71%
Minnesota Timberwolves
- 29 Octvs Golden State WarriorsMIN 76%
- 31 Octvs LA ClippersMIN 64%
- 01 Novat San Antonio SpursSA 70%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
- Our model makes Cleveland Cavaliers slight favourites at 52%, with a projected score of CLE 113-112 MIN.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- CLE -1.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers; CLE is projected to win by about 1.
- Over or under?
- We project 225 total points including overtime. Over 225.5: 48%; under: 52%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.