Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards prediction
NBA · Monday, 26 October 2026, 23:00 UK
Final: CHA 110-103 WSH. Our pick won.
Charlotte Hornets are favourites at 81% (Washington Wizards 19%). Projected score CHA 120-109 WSH: CHA by about 12, 229 points in total. CHA -12.5: 47%. Over 229.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
Box score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets | 19 | 35 | 26 | 30 | 110 |
| Washington Wizards | 21 | 23 | 24 | 35 | 103 |
We projected CHA 120-109 WSH (229 points); the margin was 4.5 points worse for CHA than projected and the total 15.6 points lower.
What the numbers show
- Hornets rate 9.5 points per game better on our numbers (net +1.9 against −7.6), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 4.3 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Charlotte Hornets 81% (fair odds 1.23)
Washington Wizards 19% (fair odds 5.35)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 4%.
Handicap (CHA)
- CHA -7.562%
- CHA -12.547%
- CHA -17.532%
Chance CHA wins by more than the line. Projected margin 12.
Total points
- Over 219.569%
- Over 224.559%
- Over 229.548%
- Over 234.537%
- Over 239.527%
Projected 229, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb2026 | Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets | 3738 | 1923 | 2844 | 2824 | 112 129 |
| 24 Jan2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards | 3534 | 3124 | 2723 | 2634 | 119 115 |
| 24 Dec2025 | Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards | 2431 | 3834 | 3025 | 3419 | 126 109 |
| 26 Oct2025 | Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets | 3031 | 3220 | 2644 | 2544 | 113 139 |
| 01 Mar2025 | Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards | 2524 | 3430 | 1630 | 2529 | 100 113 |
| 04 Feb2025 | Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards | 2931 | 2546 | 3420 | 2627 | 114 124 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 3 | 3 | 0 | 355 | 317 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 440 | 428 | .750 |
| 3 | Charlotte Hornets | 4 | 3 | 1 | 416 | 444 | .750 |
| 4 | Atlanta Hawks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 374 | 327 | .667 |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 311 | .667 |
| 6 | Indiana Pacers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 364 | 350 | .667 |
| 7 | Washington Wizards | 4 | 2 | 2 | 457 | 458 | .500 |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 224 | .500 |
| 9 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 235 | .500 |
| 10 | Orlando Magic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 329 | 349 | .333 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | 3 | 1 | 2 | 344 | 384 | .333 |
| 12 | New York Knicks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 305 | 324 | .000 |
| 13 | Milwaukee Bucks | 3 | 0 | 3 | 357 | 387 | .000 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 333 | 371 | .000 |
| 15 | Miami Heat | 3 | 0 | 3 | 327 | 374 | .000 |
Charlotte Hornets: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat | 3131 | 3527 | 3017 | 1935 | 115 110 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks | 2033 | 2335 | 1929 | 1931 | 81 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets | 2327 | 2527 | 3332 | 2224 | 103 110 |
Washington Wizards: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards | 2728 | 3529 | 2040 | 3827 | 120 124 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors | 2134 | 3126 | 2521 | 2531 | 102 112 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks | 2523 | 2633 | 3937 | 3823 | 128 116 |
Charlotte Hornets at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat | 3131 | 3527 | 3017 | 1935 | 115 110 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks | 2033 | 2335 | 1929 | 1931 | 81 128 |
Washington Wizards on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards | 2728 | 3529 | 2040 | 3827 | 120 124 |
Next games
Charlotte Hornets
- 28 Octat Detroit PistonsDET 62%
- 30 Octat Washington WizardsCHA 73%
- 31 Octvs Philadelphia 76ersCHA 59%
Washington Wizards
- 28 Octat Cleveland CavaliersCLE 81%
- 30 Octvs Charlotte HornetsCHA 73%
- 03 Novat Orlando MagicORL 75%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards?
- Our model makes Charlotte Hornets favourites at 81%, with a projected score of CHA 120-109 WSH.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- CHA -12.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers; CHA is projected to win by about 12.
- Over or under?
- We project 229 total points including overtime. Over 229.5: 48%; under: 52%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.

