Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

NBA · Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 00:00 UK

Milwaukee Bucks0-3 · 13 in the Eastern50%

PickIND116-116

Indiana Pacers2-1 · 6 in the Eastern50%

Indiana Pacers are slight favourites at 50% (Milwaukee Bucks 50%). Projected score MIL 116-116 IND: IND by about 1, 233 points in total. IND -0.5: 49%. Over 233.5: 48%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 10.4 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
Pacers rate 3.2 points per game better on our numbers (net −3.6 against −6.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
Pacers played last night: the second night of a back-to-back costs an NBA team about 1.5 points on average.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Milwaukee Bucks 50% (fair odds 2.01)

Indiana Pacers 50% (fair odds 1.99)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.

Handicap (IND)

IND -0.549%
IND -5.534%

Chance IND wins by more than the line. Projected margin 1.

Total points

Over 223.569%
Over 228.559%
Over 233.548%
Over 238.537%
Over 243.527%

Projected 233, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
15 Mar2026	Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers	2634	3631	4031	3227		134 123
07 Feb2026	Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers	2329	3118	2918	2234		105 99
24 Dec2025	Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks	2026	2433	2427	2625		94 111
04 Nov2025	Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks	2231	3125	2428	3833		115 117
29 Apr2025	Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks	1330	2817	3428	2828	1615	119 118
28 Apr2025	Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers	2430	2833	3238	1928		103 129

Milwaukee Bucks won 4 (67%)Indiana Pacers won 2 (33%)

Eastern Conference

NBA standings with Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Detroit Pistons	3	3	0	355	317	1.000
2	Philadelphia 76ers	4	3	1	440	428	.750
3	Charlotte Hornets	4	3	1	416	444	.750
4	Atlanta Hawks	3	2	1	374	327	.667
5	Toronto Raptors	3	2	1	341	311	.667
6	Indiana Pacers	3	2	1	364	350	.667
7	Washington Wizards	4	2	2	457	458	.500
8	Boston Celtics	2	1	1	220	224	.500
9	Cleveland Cavaliers	2	1	1	231	235	.500
10	Orlando Magic	3	1	2	329	349	.333
11	Chicago Bulls	3	1	2	344	384	.333
12	New York Knicks	3	0	3	305	324	.000
13	Milwaukee Bucks	3	0	3	357	387	.000
14	Brooklyn Nets	3	0	3	333	371	.000
15	Miami Heat	3	0	3	327	374	.000

Full NBA standings

Milwaukee Bucks: last 3 games this season

Milwaukee Bucks's last 3 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks	3425	3035	3327	3029	127 116
23 Oct2026	Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls	3217	3044	4241	2130	125 132
22 Oct2026	Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks	2523	2633	3937	3823	128 116

Won 0 (0%)Lost 3 (100%)

Indiana Pacers: last 3 games this season

Indiana Pacers's last 3 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers	2624	3041	2437	2934	109 136
24 Oct2026	Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks	2744	1633	3321	2923	105 121
22 Oct2026	New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers	3138	3518	2630	2837	120 123

Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)

Milwaukee Bucks at home

Milwaukee Bucks's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
23 Oct2026	Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls	3217	3044	4241	2130	125 132

Won 0 (0%)Lost 1 (100%)

Indiana Pacers on the road

Indiana Pacers's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
25 Oct2026	Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers	2624	3041	2437	2934	109 136
22 Oct2026	New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers	3138	3518	2630	2837	120 123

Won 2 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Next games

Milwaukee Bucks

Indiana Pacers

28 Octvs Philadelphia 76ersPHI 58%
31 Octat Miami HeatMIA 64%
01 Novvs Brooklyn NetsIND 71%

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers?: Our model makes Indiana Pacers slight favourites at 50%, with a projected score of MIL 116-116 IND.
What is the handicap prediction?: IND -0.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; IND is projected to win by about 1.
Over or under?: We project 233 total points including overtime. Over 233.5: 48%; under: 52%.

More NBA games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.