Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
NBA · Friday, 30 October 2026, 02:00 UK
Portland Trail Blazers are favourites at 79% (Memphis Grizzlies 21%). Projected score POR 119-109 MEM: POR by about 10, 228 points in total. POR -10.5: 49%. Over 228.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Blazers rate 8.6 points per game better on our numbers (net +2.7 against −5.9), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 4.9 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Portland Trail Blazers 79% (fair odds 1.27)
Memphis Grizzlies 21% (fair odds 4.67)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 4%.
Handicap (POR)
- POR -5.564%
- POR -10.549%
- POR -15.534%
Chance POR wins by more than the line. Projected margin 10.
Total points
- Over 218.570%
- Over 223.560%
- Over 228.549%
- Over 233.538%
- Over 238.528%
Projected 228, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers | 2832 | 3127 | 3034 | 2529 | 114 122 |
| 08 Feb2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3130 | 3233 | 2533 | 3419 | 122 115 |
| 07 Feb2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2536 | 4328 | 3823 | 2928 | 135 115 |
| 07 Dec2025 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers | 4020 | 2626 | 2632 | 2718 | 119 96 |
| 20 Mar2025 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3829 | 3329 | 2531 | 1910 | 115 99 |
| 26 Nov2024 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3624 | 2930 | 2721 | 3123 | 123 98 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Portland Trail Blazers: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns | 4312 | 2927 | 3527 | 1717 | 124 83 |
Memphis Grizzlies: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3433 | 2227 | 3424 | 1827 | 108 111 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz | 2931 | 3520 | 3428 | 2524 | 123 103 |
Portland Trail Blazers at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns | 4312 | 2927 | 3527 | 1717 | 124 83 |
Memphis Grizzlies on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies | 3433 | 2227 | 3424 | 1827 | 108 111 |
Next games
Portland Trail Blazers
- 31 Octat Utah JazzPOR 73%
- 03 Novat Denver NuggetsDEN 55%
Memphis Grizzlies
- 01 Novvs Sacramento KingsMEM 59%
- 03 Novvs New Orleans PelicansNO 57%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies?
- Our model makes Portland Trail Blazers favourites at 79%, with a projected score of POR 119-109 MEM.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- POR -10.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; POR is projected to win by about 10.
- Over or under?
- We project 228 total points including overtime. Over 228.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.