New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings prediction
NBA · Friday, 30 October 2026, 00:00 UK
New Orleans Pelicans are favourites at 66% (Sacramento Kings 34%). Projected score NO 120-115 SAC: NO by about 5, 235 points in total. NO -5.5: 49%. Over 235.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 12.5 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
- Pelicans rate 5.1 points per game better on our numbers (net −2.1 against −7.2), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
New Orleans Pelicans 66% (fair odds 1.53)
Sacramento Kings 34% (fair odds 2.90)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (NO)
- NO -0.564%
- NO -5.549%
- NO -10.534%
Chance NO wins by more than the line. Projected margin 5.
Total points
- Over 225.569%
- Over 230.559%
- Over 235.548%
- Over 240.537%
- Over 245.527%
Projected 235, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr2026 | Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2130 | 3436 | 3026 | 3221 | 117 113 | |
| 06 Mar2026 | Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3026 | 3341 | 2838 | 3228 | 123 133 | |
| 10 Feb2026 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings | 3126 | 3020 | 3121 | 2827 | 120 94 | |
| 14 Feb2025 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings | 2829 | 3236 | 3830 | 2932 | 136 | 140 133 |
| 13 Feb2025 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings | 2634 | 3731 | 2327 | 2527 | 111 119 | |
| 09 Feb2025 | Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2431 | 3034 | 4522 | 2431 | 123 118 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
New Orleans Pelicans: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2438 | 3335 | 3235 | 3718 | 159 | 141 135 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans | 3128 | 3124 | 2438 | 3429 | 120 119 | |
| 22 Oct2026 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers | 3138 | 3518 | 2630 | 2837 | 120 123 |
Sacramento Kings: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies | 2825 | 3142 | 3129 | 2227 | 112 123 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings | 4129 | 2025 | 3216 | 2826 | 121 96 |
New Orleans Pelicans at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers | 3138 | 3518 | 2630 | 2837 | 120 123 |
Sacramento Kings on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings | 4129 | 2025 | 3216 | 2826 | 121 96 |
Next games
New Orleans Pelicans
- 31 Octvs Atlanta HawksATL 61%
- 03 Novat Memphis GrizzliesNO 57%
Sacramento Kings
- 01 Novat Memphis GrizzliesMEM 59%
- 03 Novat Dallas MavericksDAL 65%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings?
- Our model makes New Orleans Pelicans favourites at 66%, with a projected score of NO 120-115 SAC.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- NO -5.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; NO is projected to win by about 5.
- Over or under?
- We project 235 total points including overtime. Over 235.5: 48%; under: 52%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.