Casa Pia AC vs CD Santa Clara 
prediction
Primeira Liga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UK
Casa Pia AC vs CD Santa Clara prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UK): Casa Pia AC 25% · Draw 31% · CD Santa Clara 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 33%. Most likely score: 0-1. Expected goals 0.81–1.20. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Casa Pia AC vs CD Santa Clara?
CD Santa Clara are favoured at 44%, but the draw and a Casa Pia AC win together still account for 56%. Recent form: Casa Pia AC WLDLLL, CD Santa Clara DWWDWW (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 67%; Over 2.5 is 33%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 60% | 40% | 1.66 |
| 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% | 3.07 |
| 3.5 goals | 14% | 86% | 6.92 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia AC win | 25% | 4.08 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 |
| CD Santa Clara win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.07 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.48 |
Form and head-to-head
Casa Pia AC: last 6
Goals per game: 0.5
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Mon, 17 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Primeira LigaCasa Pia0 SL Benfica7Casa Pia0–7SL Benfica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mon, 24 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Gil Vicente2Casa Pia0Gil Vicente2–0Casa Pia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaCasa Pia0 Moreirense1Casa Pia0–1Moreirense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Vitória0Casa Pia0Vitória0–0Casa Pia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaCasa Pia1 Porto4Casa Pia1–4Porto | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Estoril Praia1Casa Pia2Estoril Praia1–2Casa Pia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
CD Santa Clara: last 6
Goals per game: 1.5
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 15 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Primeira Liga Acad. Viseu0Santa Clara1Acad. Viseu0–1Santa Clara | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaSanta Clara1 Famalicão0Santa Clara1–0Famalicão | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Alverca1Santa Clara1Alverca1–1Santa Clara | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaSanta Clara4 Rio Ave0Santa Clara4–0Rio Ave | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira Liga Arouca1Santa Clara2Arouca1–2Santa Clara | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Primeira LigaSanta Clara0 Braga0Santa Clara0–0Braga | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 6 Dec 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Primeira LigaSanta Clara1Casa Pia0Santa Clara1–0Casa Pia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 18 Apr 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Primeira LigaCasa Pia0Santa Clara0Casa Pia0–0Santa Clara | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- Casa Pia AC
- CD Santa Clara
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Primeira Liga Home win
- Primeira Liga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · Championship West Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
12:30 · Championship Swansea NorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 30% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |