Maycee Barber vs Carli Judice prediction
UFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes · Saturday, 12 December 2026 · W Flyweight
Maycee Barber is the slight favourite at 58%. The likeliest single outcome is Maycee Barber by decision (43%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 65%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Judice lands more: 8.2 significant strikes a minute to 4.5.
- Barber is harder to hit, absorbing 2.9 significant strikes a minute to 6.0.
- Barber's rating, built from every UFC result, is 60 points higher. This is the biggest single input in the model.
- Barber is far more experienced in the UFC: 14 fights to 6.
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Maycee Barber: 58% to win
- KO/TKO13% overall
- Submission2% overall
- Decision43% overall
Carli Judice: 42% to win
- KO/TKO17% overall
- Submission2% overall
- Decision23% overall
Goes the distance: 65% · Fair odds: Maycee Barber 1.72, Carli Judice 2.40. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
Maycee Barber | Tale of the tape | Carli Judice |
|---|---|---|
| 15-3-0 | Record | 7-2-0 |
| USA | Nationality | USA |
| 14 | UFC fights | 6 |
| 28 | Age | 27 |
| 165 cm | Height | 170 cm |
| 165 cm | Reach | 173 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Southpaw |
| 5 / 0 / 6 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 3 / 0 / 1 |
| 1 / 0 / 2 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| 4.5 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 8.2 |
| 2.9 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 6.0 |
| 1.6 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 0.7 |
| 0.03 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.66 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Maycee Barber: last UFC fights
- 2026-03-29vs Alexa Grasso
R1 2:42L KO/TKO - 2025-12-07vs Karine Silva
R3 5:00W DEC - 2024-03-10vs Katlyn Cerminara R3 5:00W DEC
- 2023-06-24vs Amanda Ribas R2 3:42W KO/TKO
- 2023-03-25vs Andrea Lee R3 5:00W DEC
Carli Judice: last UFC fights
- 2026-08-23vs Jeisla Chaves R1 1:39W KO/TKO
- 2026-02-21vs Juliana Miller R3 5:00W DEC
- 2025-07-19vs Nicolle Caliari R3 1:30W KO/TKO
- 2025-03-15vs Yuneisy Duben
R1 1:40W KO/TKO - 2024-06-15vs Gabriella Fernandes R3 5:00L DEC
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Maycee Barber vs Carli Judice?
- Our model makes Maycee Barber the slight favourite at 58%, with Carli Judice at 42%.
- How will Maycee Barber vs Carli Judice end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 65%. If Maycee Barber wins, the likeliest route is decision (73% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Maycee Barber 1.72, Carli Judice 2.40: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
More from UFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.