Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal prediction
UFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes · Sunday, 13 December 2026 · Middleweight
Bo Nickal is the slight favourite at 59%. The likeliest single outcome is Joe Pyfer by KO/TKO (23%), and the chance the fight goes the distance is 31%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 19:52 UK; frozen when the fight starts. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Nickal wrestles more, averaging 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes to 1.5.
The inputs where these two differ most, from their UFC records. The model weighs all of them together.
Who wins, and how?
Joe Pyfer: 41% to win
- KO/TKO23% overall
- Submission7% overall
- Decision11% overall
Bo Nickal: 59% to win
- KO/TKO22% overall
- Submission17% overall
- Decision20% overall
Goes the distance: 31% · Fair odds: Joe Pyfer 2.44, Bo Nickal 1.70. Bars show how each fighter wins if they win; "overall" is the chance of that exact outcome.
Tale of the tape
Joe Pyfer | Tale of the tape | Bo Nickal |
|---|---|---|
| 16-3-0 | Record | 9-1-0 |
| USA | Nationality | USA |
| 10 | UFC fights | 9 |
| 30 | Age | 30 |
| 188 cm | Height | 185 cm |
| 191 cm | Reach | 193 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 3 / 4 / 1 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 1 / 0 / 0 |
| 3.5 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 3.4 |
| 3.3 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 2.3 |
| 1.5 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 2.8 |
| 0.97 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.73 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Joe Pyfer: last UFC fights
- 2026-03-29vs Israel Adesanya
R2 4:18W KO/TKO - 2025-10-05vs Abus Magomedov
R2 1:46W SUB - 2025-06-08vs Kelvin Gastelum R3 5:00W DEC
- 2024-06-30vs Marc-Andre Barriault
R1 1:25W KO/TKO - 2024-02-11vs Jack Hermansson
R5 5:00L DEC
Bo Nickal: last UFC fights
- 2026-06-15vs Kyle Daukaus R1 4:34W KO/TKO
- 2025-11-16vs Rodolfo Vieira
R3 2:24W KO/TKO - 2025-05-04vs Reinier de Ridder
R2 1:53L KO/TKO - 2024-11-17vs Paul Craig
R3 5:00W DEC - 2024-04-14vs Cody Brundage R2 3:38W SUB
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal?
- Our model makes Bo Nickal the slight favourite at 59%, with Joe Pyfer at 41%.
- How will Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal end?
- The chance it goes the distance is 31%. If Bo Nickal wins, the likeliest route is ko/tko (37% of their wins).
- What are the fair odds?
- Joe Pyfer 2.44, Bo Nickal 1.70: 100 divided by each win percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
More from UFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.