Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway prediction

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Sunday, 8 March 2026 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Charles Oliveira

Brazil · 37-11-0UFC wins: 4 KO, 17 SUB, 4 DEC

Max Holloway

USA · 28-9-0UFC wins: 12 KO, 2 SUB, 10 DEC

Result: Charles Oliveira by U Dec, R5 5:00.

Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Charles Oliveira	Tale of the tape	Max Holloway
37-11-0	Record	28-9-0
Brazil	Nationality	USA
37	UFC fights	33
36	Age	34
178 cm	Height	180 cm
188 cm	Reach	175 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
4 / 17 / 4	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	12 / 2 / 10
5 / 4 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 1 / 7
3.3	Sig. strikes landed per minute	6.8
3.1	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.6
2.2	Takedowns per 15 minutes	0.3
0.40	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.34

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Charles Oliveira: last UFC fights

2025-10-11vs Mateusz Gamrot R2 2:48W SUB
2025-06-29vs Ilia Topuria R1 2:27L KO/TKO
2024-11-17vs Michael Chandler R5 5:00W DEC
2024-04-14vs Arman Tsarukyan R3 5:00L DEC
2023-06-11vs Beneil Dariush R1 4:10W KO/TKO

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Max Holloway: last UFC fights

2025-07-20vs Dustin Poirier R5 5:00W DEC
2024-10-26vs Ilia Topuria R3 1:34L KO/TKO
2024-04-14vs Justin Gaethje R5 4:59W KO/TKO
2023-08-26vs Chan Sung Jung R3 0:23W KO/TKO
2023-04-16vs Arnold Allen R5 5:00W DEC

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.