Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias prediction
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Saturday, 7 March 2026 · Light Heavyweight
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Result: Diyar Nurgozhay by U Dec, R3 5:00.
Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias: prediction not published yet.
Tale of the tape
Diyar Nurgozhay | Tale of the tape |  Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2-0 | Record | 14-3-0 |
| Kazakhstan | Nationality | Brazil |
| 5 | UFC fights | 3 |
| 28 | Age | 22 |
| 188 cm | Height | 188 cm |
| 188 cm | Reach | 189 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 2 / 0 / 1 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 1 / 0 |
| 0 / 2 / 0 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 1 / 0 / 1 |
| 4.7 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 2.6 |
| 3.0 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 5.2 |
| 1.3 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 1.8 |
| 0.94 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.10 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Diyar Nurgozhay: last UFC fights
- 2025-08-23vs Uran Satybaldiev
R1 2:45L SUB - 2025-03-15vs Brendson Ribeiro R2 1:28L SUB
- 2024-10-02vs Bartosz Szewczyk R2 3:32W KO/TKO
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
More from UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
- Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway
- Reinier de Ridder vs Caio Borralho
- Rob Font vs Raul Rosas Jr.
- Michael Johnson vs Drew Dober
- Gregory Rodrigues vs Brunno Ferreira
- Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long
- Cody Brundage vs Donte Johnson
- Ricky Turcios vs Alberto Montes
- Cody Durden vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
- Sumudaerji vs Jesus Aguilar
- Rodolfo Bellato vs Luke Fernandez
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.