Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot prediction

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Sunday, 12 October 2025 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Charles Oliveira

Brazil · 37-11-0UFC wins: 4 KO, 17 SUB, 4 DEC

Mateusz Gamrot

Poland · 26-5-0UFC wins: 3 KO, 2 SUB, 4 DEC

Result: Charles Oliveira by Sub, R2 2:48.

Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Charles Oliveira	Tale of the tape	Mateusz Gamrot
37-11-0	Record	26-5-0
Brazil	Nationality	Poland
37	UFC fights	14
35	Age	34
178 cm	Height	178 cm
188 cm	Reach	179 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Southpaw
4 / 17 / 4	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	3 / 2 / 4
5 / 4 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 2 / 3
3.3	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.2
3.1	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	2.9
2.2	Takedowns per 15 minutes	4.8
0.40	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.11

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Charles Oliveira: last UFC fights

2025-06-29vs Ilia Topuria R1 2:27L KO/TKO
2024-11-17vs Michael Chandler R5 5:00W DEC
2024-04-14vs Arman Tsarukyan R3 5:00L DEC
2023-06-11vs Beneil Dariush R1 4:10W KO/TKO
2022-10-22vs Islam Makhachev R2 3:16L SUB

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Mateusz Gamrot: last UFC fights

2025-06-01vs Ludovit Klein R3 5:00W DEC
2024-08-18vs Dan Hooker R3 5:00L DEC
2024-03-10vs Rafael Dos Anjos R3 5:00W DEC
2023-09-23vs Rafael Fiziev R2 2:03W KO/TKO
2023-03-05vs Jalin Turner R3 5:00W DEC

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.