Vicente Luque vs Joel Álvarez prediction

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Sunday, 12 October 2025 · Welterweight · main event

Vicente Luque

Brazil · 24-13-1UFC wins: 8 KO, 7 SUB, 2 DEC

Joel Álvarez

Spain · 23-5-0UFC wins: 4 KO, 3 SUB, 1 DEC

Result: Joel Álvarez by U Dec, R3 5:00.

Vicente Luque vs Joel Álvarez: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Vicente Luque	Tale of the tape	Joel Álvarez
24-13-1	Record	23-5-0
Brazil	Nationality	Spain
26	UFC fights	12
33	Age	32
180 cm	Height	191 cm
192 cm	Reach	196 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
8 / 7 / 2	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	4 / 3 / 1
2 / 1 / 6	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 1 / 2
4.6	Sig. strikes landed per minute	4.5
5.1	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.1
0.9	Takedowns per 15 minutes	0.3
0.64	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.17

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Vicente Luque: last UFC fights

2025-06-08vs Kevin Holland R2 1:03L SUB
2024-12-08vs Themba Gorimbo R1 0:52W SUB
2024-03-31vs Joaquin Buckley R2 3:17L KO/TKO
2023-08-12vs Rafael Dos Anjos R5 5:00W DEC
2022-08-07vs Geoff Neal R3 2:01L KO/TKO

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Joel Álvarez: last UFC fights

2024-12-15vs Drakkar Klose R1 2:48W KO/TKO
2024-08-03vs Elves Brener R3 3:36W KO/TKO
2023-07-22vs Marc Diakiese R2 4:26W SUB
2022-02-27vs Arman Tsarukyan R2 1:57L KO/TKO
2021-11-13vs Thiago Moisés R1 3:01W KO/TKO

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.