Charles Oliveira vs Ilia Topuria prediction

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Sunday, 29 June 2025 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Charles OliveiraBrazilBrazil · 37-11-0UFC wins: 4 KO, 17 SUB, 4 DEC
vs
Ilia TopuriaGeorgiaGeorgia · 17-1-0UFC wins: 6 KO, 1 SUB, 2 DEC

Result: Ilia Topuria by KO/TKO, R1 2:27.

Charles Oliveira vs Ilia Topuria: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Charles OliveiraBrazilTale of the tapeGeorgiaIlia Topuria
37-11-0Record17-1-0
BrazilNationalityGeorgia
37UFC fights10
35Age28
178 cmHeight170 cm
188 cmReach175 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
4 / 17 / 4UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC6 / 1 / 2
5 / 4 / 2UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC1 / 0 / 0
3.3Sig. strikes landed per minute4.7
3.1Sig. strikes absorbed per minute3.9
2.2Takedowns per 15 minutes1.7
0.40Knockdowns per 15 minutes1.05

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Charles Oliveira: last UFC fights

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Ilia Topuria: last UFC fights

Won 5 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

More from UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.