Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway prediction

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Sunday, 20 July 2025 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Dustin Poirier

USA · 30-10-0UFC wins: 11 KO, 4 SUB, 7 DEC

Max Holloway

USA · 28-9-0UFC wins: 12 KO, 2 SUB, 10 DEC

Result: Max Holloway by U Dec, R5 5:00.

Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Dustin Poirier	Tale of the tape	Max Holloway
30-10-0	Record	28-9-0
USA	Nationality	USA
32	UFC fights	33
36	Age	33
175 cm	Height	180 cm
183 cm	Reach	175 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
11 / 4 / 7	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	12 / 2 / 10
3 / 4 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 1 / 7
5.3	Sig. strikes landed per minute	6.8
4.6	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.6
1.2	Takedowns per 15 minutes	0.3
0.63	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.34

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Dustin Poirier: last UFC fights

2024-06-02vs Islam Makhachev R5 2:42L SUB
2024-03-10vs Benoît Saint Denis R2 2:32W KO/TKO
2023-07-30vs Justin Gaethje R2 1:00L KO/TKO
2022-11-13vs Michael Chandler R3 2:00W SUB
2021-12-12vs Charles Oliveira R3 1:02L SUB

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Max Holloway: last UFC fights

2024-10-26vs Ilia Topuria R3 1:34L KO/TKO
2024-04-14vs Justin Gaethje R5 4:59W KO/TKO
2023-08-26vs Chan Sung Jung R3 0:23W KO/TKO
2023-04-16vs Arnold Allen R5 5:00W DEC
2022-07-03vs Alexander Volkanovski R5 5:00L DEC

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

More from UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.